Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 35
Almagro
vs
Tristan Suarez
1 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | D. BeckerS. Ramirez | ||
| 26′ | S. Ramirez | ||
| 40′ | R. Conechny | ||
| 52′ | E. Martinez | ||
| 58′ | E. Gonzalez | ||
| 63′ | R. ConechnyA. Gallo | ||
| 69′ | U. VillalobosF. Bustamante | ||
| 69′ | J. BustosJ. Fernandes | ||
| 71′ | B. Aguilar | ||
| 73′ | M. Cortave | ||
| 78′ | J. Beron | ||
| 79′ | N. FernandezD. Mastrangelo | ||
| 79′ | S. RamirezN. Sanchez | ||
| 80′ | G. Asis | ||
| 83′ | E. MartinezJ. Flores | ||
| 89′ | B. NegroF. Marco | ||
| 89′ | F. De La VegaT. Dornell | ||
| 90′ | J. Beron |
Almagro
16%
Draw
32%
Tristan Suarez
52%
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
| Probability | Almagro | Draw | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.1% | 37.7% | 44.2% |
| Market | 15.3% | 29.6% | 55.1% |
| Final | 16.0% | 31.6% | 52.4% |
| Edge | +0.7% | +2.0% | -2.7% |
Why Tristan Suarez
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.97 vs 0.52.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
76%
2+ goals
45%
3+ goals
19%
No goals
24%
Almagro and Tristan Suarez expected goals
Almagro
0.52
Tristan Suarez
0.97
Total expected goals: 1.49
Almagro and Tristan Suarez attack and defence ratings
Almagro
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.42 +42%
Tristan Suarez
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.40 -60%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez: result vs prediction
Almagro 1 – 1 Tristan Suarez
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever
- Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo
- Colegiales v Atletico DE Rafaela — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe — team news & stats
- CA Estudiantes v Los Andes — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
- Patronato vs Agropecuario
Before and after this match
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 52.4% | 1.91 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 16.0% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Tristan Suarez | 52.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 81.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.3% |
| No | 73.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tristan Suarez win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.7% |
| 0-1 | 20.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez stats
Almagro and Tristan Suarez recent form
| Almagro |
LWWLLD |
| Tristan Suarez |
WDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almagro and Tristan Suarez going into this match
Almagro record
- They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Tristan Suarez record
- They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 24 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Almagro wins
4Draws
4Tristan Suarez wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Tristan Suarez | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Almagro | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Tristan Suarez | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2022-03-11 | Almagro | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2021-07-23 | Tristan Suarez | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2021-03-16 | Almagro | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2015-09-22 | Almagro | Tristan Suarez | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-0 |
| 2015-05-06 | Tristan Suarez | Almagro | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-0 |
| 2014-05-26 | Almagro | Tristan Suarez | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
| 2013-12-08 | Tristan Suarez | Almagro | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.6%, draw 29.9%, away 54.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.34 | 3.02 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 3.25 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 3.13 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 6.30 | 3.20 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 5.80 | 3.15 | 1.71 |
| Marathonbet | 6.15 | 3.02 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 6.33 | 3.15 | 1.72 |
| SBO | 5.03 | 2.84 | 1.61 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
6.08 ▲ +2.48
X
3.14 ▲ +0.43
2
1.69 ▼ -0.52
12 snapshots recorded, from .