Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Club Atlético Güemes
vs
Almagro
2 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | S. Farrera | ||
| 15′ | T. MaciesJ. Orlando | ||
| 21′ | E. Martinez | ||
| 26′ | S. ChamorroF. Pinto | ||
| 28′ | J. Orlando | ||
| 64′ | G. Asis | ||
| 70′ | C. Leineker | ||
| 73′ | E. MartinezF. Bustamante | ||
| 73′ | J. BustosC. Salto | ||
| 73′ | F. De La VegaT. Dornell | ||
| 76′ | S. FarreraA. Pinto | ||
| 84′ | J. CarranzaL. Guinazu | ||
| 88′ | F. Bustamante | ||
| 90′ | G. PuglieseB. Gerez |
Club Atlético Güemes
14%
Draw
26%
Almagro
60%
Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro
| Probability | Club Atlético Güemes | Draw | Almagro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.0% | 31.2% | 49.8% |
| Market | 11.8% | 24.6% | 63.6% |
| Final | 13.6% | 26.2% | 60.2% |
| Edge | +1.8% | +1.7% | -3.5% |
Why Almagro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
14%
Club Atlético Güemes and Almagro expected goals
Club Atlético Güemes
0.71
Almagro
1.32
Total expected goals: 2.03
Club Atlético Güemes and Almagro attack and defence ratings
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
0.46 -54%
Defence
1.62 +62%
Almagro
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro: result vs prediction
Club Atlético Güemes 2 – 1 Almagro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 60.2% | 1.66 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Atlético Güemes | 13.6% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Almagro | 60.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.4% |
| No | 61.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almagro win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.1% |
| 0-0 | 14.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro stats
Club Atlético Güemes and Almagro recent form
| Club Atlético Güemes |
LLLLLL |
| Almagro |
WWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Atlético Güemes and Almagro going into this match
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 33 matches.
Almagro record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
2Club Atlético Güemes wins
3Draws
3Almagro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Almagro | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Almagro | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Club Atlético Güemes | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-16 | Club Atlético Güemes | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-03 | Almagro | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2022-06-19 | Club Atlético Güemes | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2021-11-01 | Almagro | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2021-07-04 | Club Atlético Güemes | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.5%, draw 24.9%, away 62.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.90 | 3.70 | 1.41 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 3.70 | 1.45 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 3.80 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 6.30 | 3.60 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 3.50 | 1.55 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 3.55 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 7.50 | 3.70 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.03 | 3.84 | 1.42 |
| SBO | 4.79 | 3.09 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 3.60 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
7.70 ▲ +4.45
X
3.70 ▲ +0.77
2
1.43 ▼ -0.78
12 snapshots recorded, from .