Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Patronato
vs
Club Atlético Güemes
2 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | J. Juarez | ||
| 34′ | M. MartinezR. Silisque | ||
| 35′ | I. Ortigoza | ||
| 46′ | T. AttisG. Salega | ||
| 54′ | J. JuarezM. Gerez | ||
| 54′ | R. ArnayD. Veliz | ||
| 56′ | M. Gerez | ||
| 61′ | I. OrtigozaB. Gerez | ||
| 61′ | G. PuglieseS. Farrera | ||
| 63′ | R. ReynagaH. Rivero | ||
| 66′ | H. Rivero | ||
| 67′ | F. Melillan | ||
| 71′ | F. SoldanoJ. Salas | ||
| 71′ | V. L. PereyraA. Miro | ||
| 72′ | A. Gonzalez | ||
| 75′ | G. Salega | ||
| 81′ | G. Salega | ||
| 87′ | R. Silisque | ||
| 90′ | S. Farrera | ||
| 90′ | J. P. BarinagaB. Bravo |
Patronato
67%
Draw
22%
Club Atlético Güemes
11%
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes
| Probability | Patronato | Draw | Club Atlético Güemes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 76.1% | 18.7% | 5.2% |
| Market | 63.8% | 23.7% | 12.6% |
| Final | 66.8% | 22.4% | 10.7% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -1.2% | -1.8% |
Why Patronato
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 0.39.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Patronato below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Patronato and Club Atlético Güemes expected goals
Patronato
2.04
Club Atlético Güemes
0.39
Total expected goals: 2.42
Patronato and Club Atlético Güemes attack and defence ratings
Patronato
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
0.51 -49%
Defence
1.62 +62%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes: result vs prediction
Patronato 2 – 0 Club Atlético Güemes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Colegiales v Tristan Suarez — match page
- Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Quilmes vs Agropecuario — team news & stats
- Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patronato | 66.8% | 1.50 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Patronato win | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patronato | 66.8% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 10.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.6% |
| No | 71.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Patronato win | 50.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 24.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 18.4% |
| 1-0 | 17.3% | |
| 3-0 | 12.5% |
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes stats
Patronato and Club Atlético Güemes recent form
| Patronato |
LWDDDL |
| Club Atlético Güemes |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Patronato and Club Atlético Güemes going into this match
Patronato record
- They have won 6 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
0Patronato wins
3Draws
4Club Atlético Güemes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Club Atlético Güemes | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Patronato | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Club Atlético Güemes | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-03 | Club Atlético Güemes | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Patronato | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-30 | Club Atlético Güemes | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-25 | Patronato | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.8%, draw 23.7%, away 12.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 3.72 | 7.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.90 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.90 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 3.85 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 3.90 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.45 | 4.00 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 3.72 | 7.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 4.00 | 7.23 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 3.62 | 6.95 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.75 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.44 ▼ -0.11
X
3.88 ▲ +0.42
2
7.32 ▲ +1.22
12 snapshots recorded, from .