Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 35
Deportivo Maipu
vs
Club Atlético Güemes
3 – 1 Full time
| 43′ | G. Baier | ||
| 45′ | B. Orosco | ||
| 46′ | J. JuarezS. G. Sala | ||
| 47′ | J. Giacone | ||
| 53′ | G. PuglieseR. Silisque | ||
| 56′ | N. FernandezJ. de la Reta | ||
| 63′ | R. Silisque | ||
| 64′ | M. ViguetT. Silva | ||
| 64′ | J. GiaconeL. Cabrera | ||
| 75′ | B. OroscoJ. Vera | ||
| 75′ | L. FaggioliM. Ortale | ||
| 75′ | R. ArnayL. Guinazu | ||
| 79′ | L. Cabrera | ||
| 83′ | J. CarranzaA. Pinto | ||
| 83′ | C. LeinekerM. Cassini | ||
| 90′ | S. G. Sala |
Deportivo Maipu
74%
Draw
18%
Club Atlético Güemes
8%
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes
| Probability | Deportivo Maipu | Draw | Club Atlético Güemes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.8% | 22.9% | 7.3% |
| Market | 75.7% | 16.7% | 7.6% |
| Final | 74.2% | 18.2% | 7.5% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +1.6% | -0.1% |
Why Deportivo Maipu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.42.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
12%
Deportivo Maipu and Club Atlético Güemes expected goals
Deportivo Maipu
1.76
Club Atlético Güemes
0.42
Total expected goals: 2.18
Deportivo Maipu and Club Atlético Güemes attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Maipu
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
0.64 -36%
Defence
1.53 +53%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes: result vs prediction
Deportivo Maipu 3 – 1 Club Atlético Güemes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever
- Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo
- Colegiales v Atletico DE Rafaela — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe — team news & stats
- CA Estudiantes v Los Andes — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 74.2% | 1.35 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maipu win | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 74.2% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 7.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.1% |
| No | 70.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maipu win | 42.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 30.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.1% |
| 2-0 | 17.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes stats
Deportivo Maipu and Club Atlético Güemes recent form
| Deportivo Maipu |
LDWWDD |
| Club Atlético Güemes |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Maipu and Club Atlético Güemes going into this match
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
0Deportivo Maipu wins
3Draws
3Club Atlético Güemes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Club Atlético Güemes | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Deportivo Maipu | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Club Atlético Güemes | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-07 | Club Atlético Güemes | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-04-22 | Deportivo Maipu | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-03 | Club Atlético Güemes | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.6%, draw 16.9%, away 7.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 5.30 | 13.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.75 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 5.75 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.23 | 4.85 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 5.80 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 5.30 | 12.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 5.79 | 11.96 |
| SBO | 1.19 | 4.76 | 9.06 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.21 ▲ +0.03
X
5.50 ▼ -0.45
2
12.00 ▼ -1.70
12 snapshots recorded, from .