Atlanta
vs
Midland
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atlanta
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atlanta vs Midland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlanta vs Midland
| Probability | Atlanta | Draw | Midland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 27.4% | 33.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.4% | 27.4% | 33.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atlanta
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Atlanta vs Midland match preview
Atlanta faces Midland in the Primera Nacional on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Atlanta has a 43% chance of winning, while Midland has a 29% chance, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 28%. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Atlanta, with a 9% chance of occurring. Expected goals for Atlanta are 1.50, compared to Midland's 1.20, indicating a slight advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Atlanta has recorded one loss followed by three wins, a draw, and another win, while Midland's latest results show one loss, followed by two wins, a draw, and another win. Both teams have a 55% probability of scoring, and there is a 51% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlanta and Midland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Atlanta and Midland attack and defence ratings
Atlanta
Midland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
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Before and after this match
Atlanta vs Midland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlanta | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlanta | 39.4% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Midland | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlanta win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Atlanta vs Midland stats
Atlanta and Midland recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlanta and Midland season so far
Atlanta record
- They have won 18 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Midland record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlanta vs Midland head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Midland | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.