San Martin Tucuman
vs
Colegiales
Garuda Lions Prediction: San Martin Tucuman
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales
| Probability | San Martin Tucuman | Draw | Colegiales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 28.7% | 35.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.7% | 28.7% | 35.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales match preview
San Martin Tucuman faces Colegiales in a tightly contested match, with probabilities indicating a slight edge for San Martin Tucuman at 36%, while Colegiales stands at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of San Martin Tucuman, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown a propensity for scoring, with a 55% chance that both will find the net and a nearly even expected goals tally of 1.32 for San Martin Tucuman and 1.31 for Colegiales.
In terms of recent form, San Martin Tucuman has recorded a mixed bag of results with one win in their last six matches, while Colegiales has been more consistent, with three wins in their last six. Historically, in their last three encounters, San Martin Tucuman has won once, while Colegiales has secured two victories. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Martin Tucuman and Colegiales expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
San Martin Tucuman and Colegiales attack and defence ratings
San Martin Tucuman
Colegiales
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
Before and after this match
San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin Tucuman | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin Tucuman | 35.7% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Colegiales | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin Tucuman win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-0 | 8.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales stats
San Martin Tucuman and Colegiales recent form
| San Martin Tucuman |
LWLWDL |
| Colegiales |
DWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Martin Tucuman and Colegiales season so far
San Martin Tucuman record
- They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colegiales record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Colegiales | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Colegiales | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-02 | San Martin Tucuman | Colegiales | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.