Nueva Chicago
vs
Deportivo Maipu
0 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | G. PazG. Ferracutti | ||
| 29′ | G. VegaM. Perez | ||
| 30′ | A. Gonzalez | ||
| 42′ | M. Perez | ||
| 46′ | A. GonzalezA. Ruiz | ||
| 46′ | D. ArroyoE. Roldan | ||
| 50′ | A. R. Aguero Gimenez | ||
| 54′ | N. FernandezJ. de la Reta | ||
| 55′ | M. ViguetJ. Giacone | ||
| 61′ | E. Roldan | ||
| 68′ | T. SilvaB. Orosco | ||
| 73′ | T. Rodriguez | ||
| 79′ | J. Gobetto | ||
| 80′ | F. Saccone | ||
| 81′ | L. AmbrogioS. Cocimano | ||
| 88′ | J. GobettoT. Ferreyra |
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu
| Probability | Nueva Chicago | Draw | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.0% | 40.0% | 30.9% |
| Market | 37.6% | 33.5% | 28.8% |
| Final | 35.5% | 35.2% | 29.3% |
| Edge | -8.6% | +6.5% | +2.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nueva Chicago and Deportivo Maipu expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.45
Nueva Chicago and Deportivo Maipu attack and defence ratings
Nueva Chicago
Deportivo Maipu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu: result vs prediction
Nueva Chicago 0 – 1 Deportivo Maipu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nueva Chicago | 35.5% | 2.82 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nueva Chicago | 35.5% |
| Draw | 35.2% | |
| Deportivo Maipu | 29.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.7% |
| No | 72.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nueva Chicago win | 8.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 71.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.8% |
| 0-1 | 16.2% | |
| 1-0 | 15.4% |
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu stats
Nueva Chicago and Deportivo Maipu recent form
| Nueva Chicago |
WDLWLL |
| Deportivo Maipu |
WDDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nueva Chicago and Deportivo Maipu going into this match
Nueva Chicago record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Deportivo Maipu | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-25 | Deportivo Maipu | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-11 | Deportivo Maipu | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2021-06-17 | Nueva Chicago | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 33.5%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 2.69 | 3.18 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 2.77 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 2.69 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 2.75 | 3.34 |
| SBO | 2.25 | 2.69 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.62 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .