Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Deportivo Maipu
vs
San Martin S.J.
1 – 1 Full time
| 34′ | J. Giacone | ||
| 44′ | N. Funez | ||
| 47′ | F. Coronel | ||
| 54′ | F. CoronelG. Rossi | ||
| 58′ | T. SilvaB. Orosco | ||
| 68′ | M. Cocca | ||
| 69′ | F. Murillo | ||
| 73′ | D. AlvarezH. Zuliani | ||
| 73′ | J. GiaconeL. Cabrera | ||
| 73′ | M. BonfigliD. Yavante Gaitan | ||
| 82′ | F. MurilloN. Pelaitay | ||
| 82′ | D. A. Mercado CarrizoN. Paz | ||
| 82′ | S. JaurenaR. Rumbolo | ||
| 90′ | N. FernandezJ. de la Reta |
Deportivo Maipu
45%
Draw
31%
San Martin S.J.
24%
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.
| Probability | Deportivo Maipu | Draw | San Martin S.J. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.3% | 29.5% | 15.2% |
| Market | 41.9% | 31.5% | 26.5% |
| Final | 45.3% | 31.0% | 23.7% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -0.5% | -2.8% |
Why Deportivo Maipu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.63.
- The market prices Deportivo Maipu below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Deportivo Maipu and San Martin S.J. expected goals
Deportivo Maipu
1.42
San Martin S.J.
0.63
Total expected goals: 2.05
Deportivo Maipu and San Martin S.J. attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Maipu
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.82 -18%
San Martin S.J.
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.: result vs prediction
Deportivo Maipu 1 – 1 San Martin S.J.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Colegiales v Tristan Suarez — match page
- Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Quilmes vs Agropecuario — team news & stats
- Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 45.3% | 2.21 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 45.3% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| San Martin S.J. | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.5% |
| No | 63.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maipu win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.2% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 2-0 | 13.0% |
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. stats
Deportivo Maipu and San Martin S.J. recent form
| Deportivo Maipu |
WWDDDL |
| San Martin S.J. |
LLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Maipu and San Martin S.J. going into this match
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
San Martin S.J. record
- They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Deportivo Maipu wins
1Draws
3San Martin S.J. wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | San Martin S.J. | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-14 | San Martin S.J. | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Deportivo Maipu | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-29 | Deportivo Maipu | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-29 | Deportivo Maipu | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 31.5%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 2.83 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 2.95 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.00 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 2.83 | 3.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.03 | 3.60 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.76 | 3.17 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 —
X
2.92 ▲ +0.03
2
3.48 ▲ +0.33
12 snapshots recorded, from .