Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
San Martin S.J.
vs
Almagro
1 – 2 Full time
| 35′ | G. Asis | ||
| 47′ | F. Coronel | ||
| 50′ | F. De La Vega | ||
| 57′ | L. MonjeS. Jaurena | ||
| 58′ | J. Fernandes | ||
| 63′ | J. FernandesU. Villalobos | ||
| 63′ | F. BustamanteT. Lopez | ||
| 67′ | S. Chamorro | ||
| 67′ | L. FerreyraB. Juncos | ||
| 67′ | M. OsoresJ. Marchio | ||
| 71′ | F. De La VegaJ. Orlando | ||
| 81′ | F. CoronelL. Acosta | ||
| 81′ | F. MurilloG. Rossi | ||
| 85′ | E. Aguilera | ||
| 87′ | E. MartinezF. Marco | ||
| 87′ | T. MaciesJ. Flores |
San Martin S.J.
58%
Draw
27%
Almagro
15%
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Almagro
| Probability | San Martin S.J. | Draw | Almagro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.4% | 24.9% | 12.7% |
| Market | 56.9% | 27.1% | 16.0% |
| Final | 58.2% | 26.5% | 15.2% |
| Edge | +5.5% | -2.2% | -3.3% |
Why San Martin S.J.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices San Martin S.J. below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
San Martin S.J. and Almagro expected goals
San Martin S.J.
1.75
Almagro
0.67
Total expected goals: 2.42
San Martin S.J. and Almagro attack and defence ratings
San Martin S.J.
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Almagro
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.38 +38%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro: result vs prediction
San Martin S.J. 1 – 2 Almagro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Deportivo Moron v All Boys — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar
- San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Midland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 58.2% | 1.72 | +5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 58.2% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Almagro | 15.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.3% |
| No | 58.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin S.J. win | 36.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 37.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.5% |
| 2-0 | 13.6% | |
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro stats
San Martin S.J. and Almagro recent form
| San Martin S.J. |
LWDLWW |
| Almagro |
LLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Martin S.J. and Almagro going into this match
San Martin S.J. record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Almagro record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
4San Martin S.J. wins
1Draws
1Almagro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Almagro | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-20 | Almagro | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2023-04-30 | San Martin S.J. | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-14 | Almagro | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-17 | San Martin S.J. | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-09 | Almagro | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.9%, draw 27.1%, away 16.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.78 | 5.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.40 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.40 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.34 | 5.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.55 | 6.00 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.16 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.62 ▲ +0.06
X
3.40 —
2
5.75 ▼ -0.25
12 snapshots recorded, from .