Temperley
vs
Chacarita Juniors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Temperley
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.59.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors
| Probability | Temperley | Draw | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.0% | 25.4% | 11.5% |
| Market | 48.1% | 31.1% | 20.8% |
| Final | 51.8% | 29.7% | 18.5% |
| Edge | +3.7% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
Why Temperley
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.59.
- The market prices Temperley below our published probability: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.6% per unit staked (our 51.8% × 1.98 − 1).
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors match preview
Temperley hosts Chacarita Juniors in a Primera Nacional clash with a favorable outlook for the home side. According to our model, Temperley has a 63% probability of winning, while Chacarita Juniors stands at 12%. The expected goals suggest a strong performance from Temperley, with an expected total of 1.68 compared to Chacarita's 0.59. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 16% probability.
In terms of recent form, Temperley has recorded two wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Chacarita Juniors has struggled, with three losses in their last five outings. The head-to-head record shows a balanced competition, with each team having one win and one draw in their last three encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Temperley and Chacarita Juniors expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Temperley and Chacarita Juniors attack and defence ratings
Temperley
Chacarita Juniors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v Los Andes — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
- Patronato vs Agropecuario
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Atlanta — match page
- Racing Cordoba v All Boys — match page
- Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz — team news & stats
- Central Norte vs Acassuso — team news & stats
- Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes
Before and after this match
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Temperley | 51.8% | 1.93 | +3.7% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.0% | 2.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Temperley | 51.8% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Chacarita Juniors | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Temperley win | 36.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 37.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 2-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors stats
Temperley and Chacarita Juniors recent form
| Temperley |
DWWLWD |
| Chacarita Juniors |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Temperley and Chacarita Juniors season so far
Temperley record
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chacarita Juniors record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Chacarita Juniors | Temperley | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Chacarita Juniors | Temperley | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Temperley | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 31.3%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 2.91 | 4.48 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.05 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 2.91 | 4.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.02 | 4.64 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 2.64 | 3.67 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 2.80 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .