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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 35

Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors

0 – 1 Full time

45′A. Dominguez
55′S. Vittor
55′G. Hauche
59′F. BenitezA. Melo
65′L. AlfonzoB. Calderara
68′F. Diaz
70′P. SoutoF. Kruger
71′M. MelendezC. Guanca
75′A. ArreguiG. Tomasetti
76′G. HaucheL. Nieto
76′O. PachecoN. Avalos
82′A. DominguezT. Zarate
82′N. ChavesM. Sanabria
83′A. CuelloD. Duran
90′T. Zarate
90′M. Echeverria
90′T. Zarate
90′L. Angelini
90′M. Sanabria
90′G. Tomasetti

Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera

Temperley 50%
Draw 30%
Chacarita Juniors 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTemperleyDrawChacarita Juniors
Model62.9%25.5%11.6%
Market45.9%31.7%22.4%
Final50.2%30.1%19.7%
Edge+4.2%-1.5%-2.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Temperley

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.59.
  • The market prices Temperley below our published probability: +4.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Temperley ↓ / Chacarita Juni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 16% 11% 2 15% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 11%

Temperley and Chacarita Juniors expected goals

Temperley 1.68
Chacarita Juniors 0.59

Total expected goals: 2.26

Temperley and Chacarita Juniors attack and defence ratings

Temperley

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Chacarita Juniors

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors: result vs prediction

Temperley 0 – 1 Chacarita Juniors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Temperley 50.2% 1.99 +4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 62.9% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.3% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 37.1% 2.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Temperley50.2%
Draw30.1%
Chacarita Juniors19.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes37.1%
No62.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.3%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)49.8%
Handicap -1Temperley win36.4%
Push (exactly one goal)26.5%
Loss37.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.4%
2-014.6%
0-011.4%

Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors stats

Temperley and Chacarita Juniors recent form

newest first
Temperley DWWLWD
Chacarita Juniors WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Temperley and Chacarita Juniors going into this match

league record before kick-off

Temperley record

  • They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chacarita Juniors record

  • They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Temperley wins 4Draws 2Chacarita Juniors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-07Chacarita JuniorsTemperleyPrimera Nacional0-1
2025-08-16Chacarita JuniorsTemperleyPrimera Nacional0-0
2025-04-13TemperleyChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional0-3
2023-10-28Chacarita JuniorsTemperleyPrimera Nacional1-2
2022-03-06Chacarita JuniorsTemperleyPrimera Nacional2-2
2021-09-25TemperleyChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional0-0
2021-05-14Chacarita JuniorsTemperleyPrimera Nacional1-2
2018-11-28TemperleyChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional0-0
2018-04-27Chacarita JuniorsTemperleyLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2014-05-25Chacarita JuniorsTemperleyPrimera B Metropolitana2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 31.7%, away 22.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.96 2.79 4.22
Bet365 2.00 3.00 4.10
BetVictor 2.00 3.00 4.20
Betano 2.05 2.90 4.10
Betfair 1.91 2.90 4.20
Dafabet 2.05 2.95 4.10
Marathonbet 1.94 2.79 4.10
Pinnacle 2.09 2.90 4.39
SBO 1.93 2.64 3.67
William Hill 2.05 2.75 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.10
X 2.90 ▼ -0.10
2 4.10 ▼ -0.22

12 snapshots recorded, from .