Chacarita Juniors
vs
Nueva Chicago
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chacarita Juniors
1 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.45.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago
| Probability | Chacarita Juniors | Draw | Nueva Chicago |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 34.0% | 13.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.8% | 34.0% | 13.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Chacarita Juniors
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.45.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago match preview
Chacarita Juniors will face Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional, with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Chacarita Juniors has a 53% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 34% and Nueva Chicago at 13%. The expected goals for Chacarita Juniors is 1.16, compared to Nueva Chicago's 0.45, indicating a potential advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 22% probability.
In terms of recent form, Chacarita Juniors has recorded a mixed performance with three wins and three losses in their last six matches. Meanwhile, Nueva Chicago has struggled, with only one win and five losses in their last six games. The head-to-head record shows Chacarita Juniors has not won in their last three encounters against Nueva Chicago, with two draws and one loss. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chacarita Juniors and Nueva Chicago expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.60
Chacarita Juniors and Nueva Chicago attack and defence ratings
Chacarita Juniors
Nueva Chicago
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chacarita Juniors | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chacarita Juniors | 52.8% |
| Draw | 34.0% | |
| Nueva Chicago | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.7% |
| No | 74.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chacarita Juniors win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.8% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 22.3% |
| 0-0 | 21.2% | |
| 2-0 | 13.5% |
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago stats
Chacarita Juniors and Nueva Chicago recent form
| Chacarita Juniors |
WLWLWL |
| Nueva Chicago |
LLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chacarita Juniors and Nueva Chicago season so far
Chacarita Juniors record
- They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nueva Chicago record
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 34 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Nueva Chicago | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Chacarita Juniors | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-24 | Nueva Chicago | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.