Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 36

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar

2 – 0 Full time

21′M. Gutierrez
22′M. Bittolo
31′E. Navarro
33′E. Iniguez
45′G. Berterame
46′M. BurruchagaM. Gonzalez
54′M. Bittolo
58′E. NavarroA. Carrion
58′T. GuiacobiniB. Quintana
63′J. MacielK. Caraballo
71′M. LevatoE. Franco
71′M. BittoloJ. Zappacosta
79′A. ParedesT. Rodriguez
79′G. SanchezM. Sotelo
82′M. Gonzalez
83′F. FagundezG. Gonzalez
83′S. KubiszynE. Contreras
87′N. Yeri

Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron

Deportivo Moron 53%
Draw 28%
Ciudad de Bolívar 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo MoronDrawCiudad de Bolívar
Model47.5%30.3%22.3%
Market54.4%27.9%17.7%
Final52.7%28.5%18.8%
Edge-1.7%+0.6%+1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Deportivo Moron

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.86.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Moro ↓ / Ciudad de Bolí → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar expected goals

Deportivo Moron 1.37
Ciudad de Bolívar 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.23

Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Moron

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Ciudad de Bolívar

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar: result vs prediction

Deportivo Moron 2 – 0 Ciudad de Bolívar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 36 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Moron 52.7% 1.90 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.6% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.5% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Moron52.7%
Draw28.5%
Ciudad de Bolívar18.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.4%
Under 2.561.6%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.2%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)47.3%
Handicap -1Deportivo Moron win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss52.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-013.5%
0-012.1%

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar stats

Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Moron record

  • They have won 17 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).

Ciudad de Bolívar record

  • They have won 13 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 35 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 35 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Deportivo Moron wins 0Draws 0Ciudad de Bolívar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-13Ciudad de BolívarDeportivo MoronPrimera Nacional1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.4%, draw 27.9%, away 17.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.64 3.26 5.33
Bet365 1.73 3.30 5.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.30 5.50
Betano 1.72 3.30 5.10
Betfair 1.67 3.30 5.00
Dafabet 1.72 3.35 5.20
Marathonbet 1.62 3.26 5.20
Pinnacle 1.68 3.40 5.46
SBO 1.62 3.00 4.56
William Hill 1.73 3.20 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▲ +0.02
X 3.30 ▲ +0.04
2 5.20 ▲ +0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from .