Deportivo Moron
vs
Ciudad de Bolívar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Moron
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar
| Probability | Deportivo Moron | Draw | Ciudad de Bolívar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 28.0% | 20.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.5% | 28.0% | 20.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Moron
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.89.
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar match preview
Deportivo Moron is projected to have a 52% chance of winning against Ciudad de Bolívar in their upcoming match. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.55 for Deportivo Moron compared to 0.89 for Ciudad de Bolívar. Recent form shows Deportivo Moron with two losses and one win in their last five matches, while Ciudad de Bolívar has won four of their last five.
The probabilities for a draw stand at 28%, while Ciudad de Bolívar has a 20% chance of securing a victory. Additionally, there is a 44% likelihood of the match seeing over 2.5 goals, and both teams are given a 48% chance of scoring. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate confidence in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.43
Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Moron
Ciudad de Bolívar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
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Before and after this match
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 51.5% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.5% |
| No | 52.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Moron win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 2-0 | 10.5% |
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar stats
Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar recent form
| Deportivo Moron |
LLWLLW |
| Ciudad de Bolívar |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Moron and Ciudad de Bolívar season so far
Deportivo Moron record
- They have won 17 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
Ciudad de Bolívar record
- They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Ciudad de Bolívar | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.