Garuda Lions
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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Round of 16

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar

1 – 2 Full time

Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera

Temperley 54%
Draw 28%
Ciudad de Bolívar 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTemperleyDrawCiudad de Bolívar
Model65.2%23.5%11.3%
Market49.8%29.7%20.5%
Final53.7%28.2%18.2%
Edge+3.8%-1.5%-2.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Temperley

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.64.
  • The market prices Temperley below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Temperley ↓ / Ciudad de Bolí → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 14% 11% 2 14% 9% 3 9% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 9%

Temperley and Ciudad de Bolívar expected goals

Temperley 1.84
Ciudad de Bolívar 0.64

Total expected goals: 2.48

Temperley and Ciudad de Bolívar attack and defence ratings

Temperley

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Ciudad de Bolívar

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar: result vs prediction

Temperley 1 – 2 Ciudad de Bolívar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Temperley 53.7% 1.86 +3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score No 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.8% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Temperley win 39.7% 2.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Temperley53.7%
Draw28.2%
Ciudad de Bolívar18.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.0%
Under 2.555.0%
Both teams to scoreYes40.7%
No59.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.8%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)46.3%
Handicap -1Temperley win39.7%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss34.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.5%
2-014.2%
1-110.8%

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar stats

Temperley and Ciudad de Bolívar recent form

newest first
Temperley DLDWWL
Ciudad de Bolívar LLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Temperley and Ciudad de Bolívar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Temperley record

  • They have won 16 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 36 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 36 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ciudad de Bolívar record

  • They have won 13 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 36 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 36 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.8%, draw 29.7%, away 20.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.80 2.97 4.68
Bet365 1.85 3.10 4.50
BetVictor 1.87 3.10 4.60
Betano 1.88 3.10 4.40
Betfair 1.80 3.10 4.40
Dafabet 1.90 3.15 4.40
Marathonbet 1.78 2.97 4.55
Pinnacle 1.89 3.16 4.94
SBO 1.85 2.82 3.93
William Hill 1.85 2.90 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.11
X 3.10 ▼ -0.10
2 4.50 ▼ -0.50

10 snapshots recorded, from .