Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Ferro Carril Oeste
vs
Racing Cordoba
1 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | J. Bay | ||
| 53′ | E. Hoyos | ||
| 58′ | L. Parisi | ||
| 63′ | A. GonzalezG. Castellani | ||
| 63′ | E. HoyosE. Dening | ||
| 64′ | T. KummerM. Machado | ||
| 64′ | A. BustosF. Monticelli | ||
| 74′ | M. KabalinL. Marra | ||
| 74′ | N. RenieroF. Garcia | ||
| 74′ | L. C. PenaS. Gonzalez | ||
| 74′ | F. TabordaL. Viano | ||
| 78′ | G. Aranda | ||
| 79′ | L. ParisiN. Gomez | ||
| 86′ | N. Gomez | ||
| 88′ | J. BayL. Flores | ||
| 89′ | A. Olinick |
Ferro Carril Oeste
60%
Draw
26%
Racing Cordoba
14%
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba
| Probability | Ferro Carril Oeste | Draw | Racing Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 29.1% | 16.4% |
| Market | 62.4% | 25.0% | 12.6% |
| Final | 60.4% | 26.1% | 13.5% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +1.0% | +1.0% |
Why Ferro Carril Oeste
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Ferro Carril Oeste and Racing Cordoba expected goals
Ferro Carril Oeste
1.45
Racing Cordoba
0.69
Total expected goals: 2.14
Ferro Carril Oeste and Racing Cordoba attack and defence ratings
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Racing Cordoba
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba: result vs prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste 1 – 0 Racing Cordoba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 60.4% | 1.66 | -2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 60.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Racing Cordoba | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.2% |
| No | 60.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferro Carril Oeste win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.9% |
| 0-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.9% |
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba stats
Ferro Carril Oeste and Racing Cordoba recent form
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
DLWWDD |
| Racing Cordoba |
WDDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste and Racing Cordoba going into this match
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 18 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Racing Cordoba record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Ferro Carril Oeste wins
4Draws
1Racing Cordoba wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Racing Cordoba | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Racing Cordoba | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Racing Cordoba | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-22 | Racing Cordoba | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.9%, draw 25.5%, away 12.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 3.56 | 7.29 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.60 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 3.80 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 3.65 | 8.00 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.60 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 3.55 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 3.56 | 6.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 3.99 | 7.25 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.70 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.46 ▼ -0.03
X
3.65 ▲ +0.10
2
7.27 ▲ +0.31
12 snapshots recorded, from .