Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 27

Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.

0 – 1 Full time

6′D. A. Mercado Carrizo
46′C. BernardiF. Bisanz
46′A. DramisinoB. Rivero
46′F. AlvarezG. Miranda
46′N. FunezG. Acosta
54′R. MoreiraL. Galeano
55′M. Osores
68′F. MurilloR. Rumbolo
70′F. CastroG. Potense
73′D. Arguello
74′G. RossiN. Iachetti
75′M. Cocca
81′A. Morales
83′H. ZulianiD. Alvarez
83′S. GonzalezL. Ferreyra
88′F. Bisanz
Atlanta 41%
Draw 31%
San Martin S.J. 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlantaDrawSan Martin S.J.
Model35.7%29.6%34.7%
Market42.6%31.2%26.2%
Final40.9%30.8%28.3%
Edge-7.0%-1.6%+8.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlanta ↓ / San Martin S.J → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 7% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Atlanta and San Martin S.J. expected goals

Atlanta 1.11
San Martin S.J. 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.34

Atlanta and San Martin S.J. attack and defence ratings

Atlanta

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.40 +40%

San Martin S.J.

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.: result vs prediction

Atlanta 0 – 1 San Martin S.J.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atlanta 40.9% 2.45 -7.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.6% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.3% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlanta40.9%
Draw30.8%
San Martin S.J.28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.4%
Under 2.554.6%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)69.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.1%
Handicap -1Atlanta win13.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss68.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-09.6%
1-09.1%

Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. stats

Atlanta and San Martin S.J. recent form

newest first
Atlanta LWLWLL
San Martin S.J. WWDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atlanta and San Martin S.J. going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atlanta record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

San Martin S.J. record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Atlanta wins 0Draws 0San Martin S.J. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-14San Martin S.J.AtlantaPrimera Nacional1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 31.2%, away 26.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 2.88 3.50
888Sport 2.15 3.00 3.30
Bet365 2.20 2.80 4.00
Betano 2.15 2.92 3.65
Betfair 2.10 2.90 3.50
Dafabet 2.14 2.95 3.65
Marathonbet 2.13 2.88 3.42
Pinnacle 2.15 3.19 3.46
Unibet 2.00 2.95 3.70
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.15
X 2.94 ▲ +0.19
2 3.50 ▼ -0.70

8 snapshots recorded, from .