Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Ferro Carril Oeste
vs
All Boys
1 – 0 Full time
Ferro Carril Oeste
57%
Draw
29%
All Boys
14%
Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys
| Probability | Ferro Carril Oeste | Draw | All Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.6% | 25.3% | 13.1% |
| Market | 54.9% | 30.4% | 14.7% |
| Final | 56.6% | 29.1% | 14.3% |
| Edge | +6.7% | -5.1% | -1.5% |
Why Ferro Carril Oeste
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ferro Carril Oeste below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
Ferro Carril Oeste and All Boys expected goals
Ferro Carril Oeste
1.72
All Boys
0.68
Total expected goals: 2.40
Ferro Carril Oeste and All Boys attack and defence ratings
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack
1.54 +54%
Defence
1.20 +20%
All Boys
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys: result vs prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste 1 – 0 All Boys
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Acassuso v Godoy Cruz — match page
- San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre
- Tristan Suarez v Agropecuario — match page
- Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Almagro v Colegiales — match page
- Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 56.6% | 1.77 | +6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 56.6% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| All Boys | 14.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferro Carril Oeste win | 35.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 38.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.6% |
| 2-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys stats
Ferro Carril Oeste and All Boys recent form
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
WWLLWW |
| All Boys |
WDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste and All Boys going into this match
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 16 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
All Boys record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Ferro Carril Oeste wins
5Draws
4All Boys wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | All Boys | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Ferro Carril Oeste | All Boys | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | All Boys | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | All Boys | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-25 | Ferro Carril Oeste | All Boys | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2022-07-16 | All Boys | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2021-08-11 | Ferro Carril Oeste | All Boys | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2021-03-27 | All Boys | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2018-02-07 | All Boys | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 3-3 |
| 2017-07-16 | All Boys | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 30.4%, away 14.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.64 | 2.95 | 6.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.00 | 6.23 |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.10 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.10 | 6.40 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 3.15 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.00 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.21 | 6.57 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 2.95 | 5.32 |
| Superbet | 1.67 | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| Unibet | 1.76 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.66 ▼ -0.01
X
3.00 ▼ -0.17
2
6.21 ▲ +0.44
7 snapshots recorded, from .