Primera Nacional Β· Β·Matchday 36

Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba

Garuda Lions Prediction: Chaco For Ever

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.55.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence β€” both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.

Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia, Resistencia

Chaco For Ever 57%
Draw 27%
Racing Cordoba 16%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Chaco For Ever wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
37%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
16% of simulated outcomes

Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChaco For EverDrawRacing Cordoba
Model71.1%20.7%8.2%
Market52.9%28.7%18.4%
Final57.4%26.7%15.8%
Edge+4.6%-2.0%-2.6%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Chaco For Ever

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.55.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Chaco For Ever below our published probability: +4.6 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.5% per unit staked (our 57.4% Γ— 1.75 βˆ’ 1).

Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba match preview

Chaco For Ever is favored in their upcoming match against Racing Cordoba, with a 69% probability of winning according to our model. Their expected goals stand at 1.91, while Racing Cordoba is projected to score only 0.56. Recent form shows Chaco For Ever with a mixed record of W-L-W-D-L-W, while Racing Cordoba has struggled, recording L-W-D-D-L-L in their last six matches.

The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Chaco For Ever, with a 15% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 37% probability that both teams will score. In their last encounter, Racing Cordoba secured a win, but Chaco For Ever's current form suggests a strong chance for a different outcome this time.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chaco For Ever ↓ / Racing Cordoba β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 15% 9% 2 16% 9% 3 10% 4+ 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Chaco For Ever and Racing Cordoba expected goals

Chaco For Ever 2.01
Racing Cordoba 0.55

Total expected goals: 2.55

Chaco For Ever and Racing Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Chaco For Ever

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Racing Cordoba

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 36 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chaco For Ever 57.4% 1.74 +4.6% 1.75
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.0% 1.89 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 62.7% 1.59 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.2% 1.19 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Chaco For Ever win 46.1% 2.17 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chaco For Ever57.4%
Draw26.7%
Racing Cordoba15.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.0%
Under 2.553.0%
Both teams to scoreYes37.3%
No62.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)42.6%
Handicap -1Chaco For Ever win46.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss28.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-015.7%
1-014.8%
3-010.5%

Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba stats

Chaco For Ever and Racing Cordoba recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chaco For Ever and Racing Cordoba season so far

league record

Chaco For Ever record

  • They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).

Racing Cordoba record

  • They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Chaco For Ever wins 0Draws 1Racing Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-14Racing CordobaChaco For EverPrimera Nacional2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 28.7%, away 18.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.71 3.20 4.82
Betano 1.75 3.25 5.00
Marathonbet 1.69 3.20 4.70
Pinnacle 1.74 3.32 5.11
William Hill 1.75 3.10 5.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far β€” movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 1 Chaco For Ever Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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