Atletico Mitre
vs
Colon Santa Fe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe
| Probability | Atletico Mitre | Draw | Colon Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.8% | 35.0% | 37.1% |
| Market | 35.1% | 33.5% | 31.4% |
| Final | 33.3% | 33.9% | 32.9% |
| Edge | -7.2% | +1.5% | +5.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe match preview
Atletico Mitre faces Colon Santa Fe in a tightly contested Primera Nacional matchup. According to our model, the probabilities for a win are evenly split, with Atletico Mitre at 33%, Colon Santa Fe at 33%, and a draw slightly favored at 34%. The expected goals suggest a close encounter, with Atletico Mitre at 0.83 and Colon Santa Fe at 1.00. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-0, occurring with a 17% probability.
In terms of recent form, Atletico Mitre has recorded a mixed set of results with one win, two losses, and three draws in their last six matches. Conversely, Colon Santa Fe has experienced a challenging spell, winning two, drawing one, and losing three in their last six games. The head-to-head record over the last three encounters shows a balanced competition, with each team securing one win and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.83
Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe attack and defence ratings
Atletico Mitre
Colon Santa Fe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
- Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
- Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes
- Temperley v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
- Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste — team news & stats
- Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.
Before and after this match
Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 33.9% | 2.95 | +1.5% | 2.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Mitre | 33.3% |
| Draw | 33.9% | |
| Colon Santa Fe | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Mitre win | 9.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 72.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.3% |
| 0-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe stats
Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe recent form
| Atletico Mitre |
WLLDDD |
| Colon Santa Fe |
WDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe season so far
Atletico Mitre record
- They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
Colon Santa Fe record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Colon Santa Fe | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-01 | Colon Santa Fe | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Atletico Mitre | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 33.5%, away 31.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 2.68 | 2.77 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 2.72 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 2.68 | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 2.79 | 2.98 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 2.59 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.62 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .