Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 33

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe

0 – 0 Full time

43′F. Castet
46′F. LertoraJ. Buosi
59′M. MaldonadoR. Gonzalez
65′J. MarcioniE. Beltran
66′M. VazquezA. Lopez
69′R. Gonzalez
78′A. ToledoL. Garate
78′A. BonanseaM. Munoz
86′O. GarridoF. J. Gorla
86′Y. CabralE. Avaro
88′F. CastetS. Olmedo

Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero

Atletico Mitre 33%
Draw 34%
Colon Santa Fe 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico MitreDrawColon Santa Fe
Model27.9%35.0%37.1%
Market34.2%33.8%32.1%
Final32.6%34.1%33.3%
Edge-1.6%+0.3%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Mitre ↓ / Colon Santa Fe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 15% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe expected goals

Atletico Mitre 0.83
Colon Santa Fe 1.00

Total expected goals: 1.83

Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe attack and defence ratings

Atletico Mitre

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Colon Santa Fe

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe: result vs prediction

Atletico Mitre 0 – 0 Colon Santa Fe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 34.1% 2.94 +0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.2% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 67.4% 1.48 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.8% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Mitre32.6%
Draw34.1%
Colon Santa Fe33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.8%
Under 2.572.2%
Both teams to scoreYes37.0%
No63.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)65.9%
X2 (draw or away)67.4%
Handicap -1Colon Santa Fe win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss62.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.3%
0-114.7%
1-114.7%

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe stats

Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Mitre and Colon Santa Fe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Mitre record

  • They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 32 matches.

Colon Santa Fe record

  • They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Atletico Mitre wins 2Draws 1Colon Santa Fe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Colon Santa FeAtletico MitrePrimera Nacional1-1
2025-07-01Colon Santa FeAtletico MitrePrimera Nacional0-1
2025-02-23Atletico MitreColon Santa FePrimera Nacional0-1
2024-08-06Colon Santa FeAtletico MitrePrimera Nacional1-2
2024-03-17Atletico MitreColon Santa FePrimera Nacional2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.2%, draw 33.8%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.60 2.68 2.77
Bet365 2.75 2.75 2.88
BetVictor 2.70 2.80 2.88
Betano 2.72 2.72 2.90
Betfair 2.60 2.80 2.75
Dafabet 2.70 2.80 2.90
Marathonbet 2.60 2.68 2.77
Pinnacle 2.82 2.80 2.96
SBO 2.46 2.64 2.74
William Hill 2.75 2.62 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▲ +0.10
X 2.74 ▼ -0.01
2 2.88 ▲ +0.08

12 snapshots recorded, from .