Nueva Chicago
vs
Patronato
1 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | B. Palazzo | ||
| 29′ | R. Reynaga | ||
| 46′ | R. BalbuenaM. Perez | ||
| 46′ | B. PalazzoI. Antunes | ||
| 54′ | E. CardozoN. Petrecca | ||
| 55′ | T. Rodriguez | ||
| 67′ | W. Rueda | ||
| 71′ | J. BarolinF. Heredia | ||
| 77′ | F. Masuero | ||
| 78′ | R. E. ZalazarG. Paz | ||
| 79′ | R. ReynagaH. Rivero | ||
| 90′ | V. L. PereyraB. Bravo | ||
| 90′ | T. RodriguezM. Rogoski |
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nueva Chicago vs Patronato
| Probability | Nueva Chicago | Draw | Patronato |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 38.7% | 29.5% |
| Market | 41.2% | 32.9% | 25.9% |
| Final | 38.8% | 34.4% | 26.8% |
| Edge | -9.3% | +5.7% | +3.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nueva Chicago and Patronato expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.54
Nueva Chicago and Patronato attack and defence ratings
Nueva Chicago
Patronato
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato: result vs prediction
Nueva Chicago 1 – 1 Patronato
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nueva Chicago | 38.8% | 2.57 | -9.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nueva Chicago | 38.8% |
| Draw | 34.4% | |
| Patronato | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.2% |
| No | 69.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nueva Chicago win | 10.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.7% |
| 1-0 | 15.6% | |
| 0-1 | 14.8% |
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato stats
Nueva Chicago and Patronato recent form
| Nueva Chicago |
LWLLLL |
| Patronato |
DDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nueva Chicago and Patronato going into this match
Nueva Chicago record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 29 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Patronato record
- They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Patronato | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-11 | Nueva Chicago | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-30 | Patronato | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2013-05-12 | Nueva Chicago | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2012-11-11 | Patronato | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 32.9%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 2.71 | 3.54 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.88 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.88 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 2.75 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 2.88 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 2.71 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 2.83 | 3.66 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 2.70 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.70 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .