Garuda Lions
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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 27

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe

1 – 0 Full time

29′P. Chavarria
46′A. ToledoI. Antonio
46′L. GarateF. Garcia
51′F. Castet
52′S. Rinaudo
60′F. Rasmussen
65′F. Garcia
66′J. MarcioniC. Ibarra
72′F. TabordaT. Kummer
72′S. RinaudoF. Monticelli
76′A. OlinickA. Bustos
76′M. MachadoL. C. Pena
77′F. LertoraJ. Buosi
83′S. GonzalezL. Avila
88′I. LagoE. Beltran

Estadio Miguel Sancho, Cordoba

Racing Cordoba 33%
Draw 33%
Colon Santa Fe 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRacing CordobaDrawColon Santa Fe
Model28.1%33.2%38.8%
Market35.0%33.4%31.6%
Final33.3%33.3%33.4%
Edge-6.9%-0.2%+7.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Colon Santa Fe

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Colon Santa Fe below the model: +7.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Racing Cordoba ↓ / Colon Santa Fe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 13% 8% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Racing Cordoba and Colon Santa Fe expected goals

Racing Cordoba 0.91
Colon Santa Fe 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.02

Racing Cordoba and Colon Santa Fe attack and defence ratings

Racing Cordoba

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Colon Santa Fe

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe: result vs prediction

Racing Cordoba 1 – 0 Colon Santa Fe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colon Santa Fe 33.4% 2.99 +7.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 58.7% 1.70 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 66.7% 1.50 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Racing Cordoba33.3%
Draw33.3%
Colon Santa Fe33.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.8%
Under 2.567.2%
Both teams to scoreYes41.3%
No58.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.6%
12 (either side)66.7%
X2 (draw or away)66.7%
Handicap -1Colon Santa Fe win16.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-014.7%
0-113.5%

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe stats

Racing Cordoba and Colon Santa Fe recent form

newest first
Racing Cordoba DDWLWL
Colon Santa Fe WWWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Racing Cordoba and Colon Santa Fe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Racing Cordoba record

  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Colon Santa Fe record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Racing Cordoba wins 0Draws 1Colon Santa Fe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Colon Santa FeRacing CordobaPrimera Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.0%, draw 33.4%, away 31.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.59 2.76 2.76
Bet365 2.75 2.75 3.00
Betano 2.75 2.70 2.87
Betfair 2.60 2.75 2.80
Dafabet 2.65 2.75 2.95
Marathonbet 2.59 2.76 2.76
Pinnacle 2.76 2.78 2.92
Unibet 2.50 2.90 3.05
William Hill 2.62 2.62 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 —
X 2.75 —
2 2.90 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .