2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg

5 – 1 Full time

Hofmann Personal Stadion, LinzReferee: S. Macanovic

FC BW Linz 58%
Draw 23%
Voitsberg 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC BW LinzDrawVoitsberg
Model48.2%26.0%25.9%
Market60.8%21.5%17.8%
Final57.6%22.6%19.8%
Edge-12.6%+4.5%+8.1%

Confidence: Low

Why FC BW Linz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.21.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC BW Linz ↓ / Voitsberg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

FC BW Linz and Voitsberg expected goals

FC BW Linz 1.72
Voitsberg 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.93

FC BW Linz and Voitsberg attack and defence ratings

FC BW Linz

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Voitsberg

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg: result vs prediction

FC BW Linz 5 – 1 Voitsberg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC BW Linz 57.6% 1.74 -12.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.7% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.2% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.8% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC BW Linz57.6%
Draw22.6%
Voitsberg19.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%
Both teams to scoreYes58.7%
No41.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.2%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)42.4%
Handicap -1FC BW Linz win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss51.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.6%
1-08.1%

FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg stats

FC BW Linz and Voitsberg recent form

newest first
FC BW Linz WWWWLD
Voitsberg DWDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC BW Linz and Voitsberg going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC BW Linz record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Voitsberg record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC BW Linz vs Voitsberg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.4%, draw 21.5%, away 18.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.53 4.20 5.00
1xBet 1.53 4.35 5.26
888Sport 1.53 3.90 4.60
Bet365 1.55 4.50 4.75
BetVictor 1.50 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.55 4.30 4.90
Betfair 1.44 4.33 5.50
Dafabet 1.54 4.30 5.20
Marathonbet 1.51 4.35 5.35
Pinnacle 1.52 4.59 5.50
SBO 1.49 3.92 4.94
Superbet 1.54 4.20 5.10
William Hill 1.50 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.52 ▼ -0.01
X 4.30 ▲ +0.10
2 5.20 ▲ +0.20

3 snapshots recorded, from .