Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 5

HB Koge vs Kolding IF

2 – 2 Full time

Capelli Sport Stadion, KogeReferee: N. Dommerudveksling

HB Koge 23%
Draw 27%
Kolding IF 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

HB Koge vs Kolding IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HB Koge vs Kolding IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHB KogeDrawKolding IF
Model23.2%27.3%49.4%
Market———
Final23.2%27.3%49.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Kolding IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HB Koge ↓ / Kolding IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

HB Koge and Kolding IF expected goals

HB Koge 1.03
Kolding IF 1.60

Total expected goals: 2.63

HB Koge and Kolding IF attack and defence ratings

HB Koge

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Kolding IF

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HB Koge vs Kolding IF: result vs prediction

HB Koge 2 – 2 Kolding IF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

HB Koge vs Kolding IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kolding IF 49.4% 2.02 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HB Koge23.2%
Draw27.3%
Kolding IF49.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.0%
Under 2.551.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.6%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)76.8%
Handicap -1Kolding IF win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
0-110.3%
1-29.5%

HB Koge vs Kolding IF stats

HB Koge and Kolding IF recent form

newest first
HB Koge LLLLLL
Kolding IF LDWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HB Koge and Kolding IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

HB Koge record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Kolding IF record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

HB Koge vs Kolding IF head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1HB Koge wins 0Draws 1Kolding IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-17HB KogeKolding IFDenmark 1. Division2-1
2025-08-01Kolding IFHB KogeDenmark 1. Division3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HB Koge vs Kolding IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 27.2%, away 41.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.98 3.35 2.20
1xBet 2.93 3.40 2.29
888Sport 2.80 3.10 2.25
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.25
BetVictor 2.88 3.50 2.25
Betano 2.92 3.45 2.27
Betfair 2.75 3.40 2.20
Dafabet 2.95 3.45 2.28
Marathonbet 2.91 3.40 2.27
Pinnacle 2.98 3.46 2.33
SBO 2.69 3.15 2.17
Superbet 2.95 3.40 2.27
Unibet 2.90 3.35 2.20
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.91 —
X 3.40 ▲ +0.01
2 2.25 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .