Aalborg
vs
HB Koge
0 – 0 Full time
Aalborg vs HB Koge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aalborg vs HB Koge
| Probability | Aalborg | Draw | HB Koge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 28.7% | 28.8% |
| Market | 57.6% | 22.6% | 19.7% |
| Final | 53.8% | 24.2% | 22.0% |
| Edge | -15.2% | +6.1% | +9.1% |
Why Aalborg
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aalborg and HB Koge expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Aalborg and HB Koge attack and defence ratings
Aalborg
HB Koge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aalborg vs HB Koge: result vs prediction
Aalborg 0 – 0 HB Koge
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aalborg vs HB Koge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aalborg | 53.8% | 1.86 | -15.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aalborg | 53.8% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| HB Koge | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aalborg win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
Aalborg vs HB Koge stats
Aalborg and HB Koge recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aalborg and HB Koge going into this match
Aalborg record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HB Koge record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Aalborg vs HB Koge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Aalborg | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | HB Koge | Aalborg | Denmark 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Aalborg | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | HB Koge | Aalborg | Denmark 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2023-12-03 | HB Koge | Aalborg | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-22 | Aalborg | HB Koge | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2019-11-27 | HB Koge | Aalborg | DBU Pokalen | 0-3 |
| 2013-09-24 | HB Koge | Aalborg | DBU Pokalen | 1-2 |
| 2012-05-20 | Aalborg | HB Koge | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2012-03-19 | HB Koge | Aalborg | Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aalborg vs HB Koge odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.6%, draw 22.6%, away 19.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.62 | 3.95 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.15 | 4.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.15 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.30 | 4.63 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 3.74 | 4.38 |
| Superbet | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .