AB Copenhagen
vs
Aalborg
0 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | K. Normann | ||
| 38′ | S. Diop | ||
| 64′ | N. A. ArnorssonP. Sondergaard | ||
| 65′ | K. NormannJ. Adedeji | ||
| 66′ | M. KubelA. Hapnes | ||
| 68′ | W. WarrerT. Lykkebak | ||
| 68′ | J. MathysC. Grening | ||
| 71′ | S. DiopT. Hageltorn | ||
| 72′ | T. Persyn | ||
| 76′ | M. Rasmussen | ||
| 78′ | J. Adedeji | ||
| 80′ | M. Vesterholm | ||
| 85′ | M. RasmussenA. Koudelka | ||
| 85′ | M. KaasaM. Tielemans | ||
| 86′ | S. IlsoeM. Immersen |
AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg
| Probability | AB Copenhagen | Draw | Aalborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 25.1% | 19.1% |
| Market | 42.2% | 25.7% | 32.0% |
| Final | 45.6% | 25.6% | 28.8% |
| Edge | +13.5% | -0.6% | -12.9% |
Why AB Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices AB Copenhagen below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AB Copenhagen and Aalborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
AB Copenhagen and Aalborg attack and defence ratings
AB Copenhagen
Aalborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg: result vs prediction
AB Copenhagen 0 – 2 Aalborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AB Copenhagen | 45.6% | 2.19 | +13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AB Copenhagen | 45.6% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Aalborg | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | AB Copenhagen win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-0 | 10.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg stats
AB Copenhagen and Aalborg recent form
| AB Copenhagen |
LWDWLW |
| Aalborg |
DLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AB Copenhagen and Aalborg going into this match
AB Copenhagen record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aalborg record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-11 | AB Copenhagen | Aalborg | DBU Pokalen | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AB Copenhagen vs Aalborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 25.6%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.24 | 3.55 | 2.76 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.62 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.62 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.21 | 2.67 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .