Garuda Lions
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Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 7

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF

2 – 1 Full time

18′H. Hollsberg
32′A. Norager
52′M. KjolbyM. de Claville
63′S. Andreasen
64′S. YatekeA. Halsgaard
64′M. DojM. Lynge
65′L. Laursen
70′L. LaursenJ. Hansen
72′M. Kaastrup
74′M. Lynge
81′E. EgertonO. Hjaltason
81′K. LundingD. Bernasko Appu
83′M. SoometsD. Johannesson
83′T. Augustinus-JensenA. Arshad
85′F. Grube
86′F. Lesniak
89′A. Pisani
90′M. KaastrupJ. Beluli

Riisvangen, AarhusReferee: J. Kobberrod

Aarhus Fremad 42%
Draw 28%
Kolding IF 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAarhus FremadDrawKolding IF
Model50.7%27.3%22.0%
Market39.3%28.4%32.3%
Final42.2%28.1%29.7%
Edge+11.4%-1.1%-10.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Aarhus Fremad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.99.
  • The market prices Aarhus Fremad below the model: +11.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aarhus Fremad ↓ / Kolding IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Aarhus Fremad and Kolding IF expected goals

Aarhus Fremad 1.61
Kolding IF 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.60

Aarhus Fremad and Kolding IF attack and defence ratings

Aarhus Fremad

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Kolding IF

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF: result vs prediction

Aarhus Fremad 2 – 1 Kolding IF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aarhus Fremad 42.2% 2.37 +11.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.3% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aarhus Fremad42.2%
Draw28.1%
Kolding IF29.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.0%
Under 2.552.0%
Both teams to scoreYes51.3%
No48.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.3%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1Aarhus Fremad win27.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss49.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-010.8%
2-09.7%

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF stats

Aarhus Fremad and Kolding IF recent form

newest first
Aarhus Fremad DWDDWW
Kolding IF WWDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aarhus Fremad and Kolding IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aarhus Fremad record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kolding IF record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Aarhus Fremad wins 5Draws 1Kolding IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-30Kolding IFAarhus FremadDenmark 1. Division1-1
2025-08-20Aarhus FremadKolding IFDenmark 1. Division2-2
2023-06-04Aarhus FremadKolding IF2. Division1-3
2023-05-05Kolding IFAarhus Fremad2. Division0-2
2022-10-29Kolding IFAarhus Fremad2. Division0-1
2022-09-10Aarhus FremadKolding IF2. Division1-1
2021-11-06Aarhus FremadKolding IF2. Division3-0
2021-08-18Kolding IFAarhus Fremad2. Division0-3
2019-04-13Kolding IFAarhus Fremad2nd Division - Group 10-0
2018-09-01Aarhus FremadKolding IF2nd Division - Group 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 28.1%, away 32.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.42 3.30 2.68
1xBet 2.36 3.28 2.90
Bet365 2.38 3.25 2.90
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.75
Betano 2.42 3.30 2.82
Betfair 2.30 3.40 2.70
Dafabet 2.41 3.35 2.80
Marathonbet 2.34 3.28 2.88
Pinnacle 2.42 3.36 2.97
SBO 2.23 3.09 2.64
Superbet 2.42 3.30 2.82
Unibet 2.18 3.40 3.10
William Hill 2.30 3.25 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.37 ▼ -0.05
X 3.28 ▼ -0.02
2 2.89 ▲ +0.16

5 snapshots recorded, from .