FC Fredericia
vs
Esbjerg
1 – 0 Full time
| 50′ | F. Winther | ||
| 61′ | F. AronssonA. Sonderskov | ||
| 61′ | B. HvidtL. Vigen | ||
| 61′ | O. BoesenJ. Kolawole | ||
| 65′ | A. Sonderskov | ||
| 66′ | F. WintherN. Thomsen | ||
| 66′ | C. Jorgensen | ||
| 75′ | S. Crone | ||
| 75′ | C. JorgensenD. Haarbo | ||
| 75′ | A. LyngB. Bang-Kittilsen | ||
| 77′ | M. BrajanacM. Kruse | ||
| 77′ | M. MadenM. Hansen | ||
| 87′ | A. PyndtA. Dahl | ||
| 87′ | A. BondergaardE. Hansborg |
FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg
| Probability | FC Fredericia | Draw | Esbjerg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.8% | 22.2% | 29.0% |
| Market | 64.3% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| Final | 60.4% | 19.5% | 20.1% |
| Edge | -15.5% | +3.6% | +11.9% |
Why FC Fredericia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.65.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Fredericia and Esbjerg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.81
FC Fredericia and Esbjerg attack and defence ratings
FC Fredericia
Esbjerg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg: result vs prediction
FC Fredericia 1 – 0 Esbjerg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 60.4% | 1.66 | -15.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 60.4% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Esbjerg | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.3% |
| No | 27.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg stats
FC Fredericia and Esbjerg recent form
| FC Fredericia |
LLDWDW |
| Esbjerg |
LWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Fredericia and Esbjerg going into this match
FC Fredericia record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Esbjerg record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | FC Fredericia | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-22 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-11 | FC Fredericia | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2024-07-13 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-23 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-17 | FC Fredericia | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-10 | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.8%, draw 19.6%, away 17.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.49 | 4.45 | 5.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 5.15 | 5.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.80 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.50 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.70 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 5.15 | 5.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 5.50 | 5.22 |
| SBO | 1.47 | 4.07 | 4.57 |
| Superbet | 1.50 | 4.60 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.55 | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.80 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .