Garuda Lions
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Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 7

HB Koge vs Hillerød

1 – 1 Full time

13′S. Opoku
25′S. Hald
55′S. Larsen
56′R. CorluF. Hogh Jensen
56′S. OpokuP. Kallsberg
59′M. WarmingF. Isaki
64′G. Larsen
73′E. SemovskiG. Culhaci
73′M. WestergrenM. Romer
73′J. SigurdssonK. Enghardt
73′T. ArndalG. Nohr
81′R. BrodersenN. Jakobsen
81′B. KucukylidizS. Jalaei
82′S. HaldL. Achton
90′M. Julo
90′P. Kallsberg

Capelli Sport Stadion, KogeReferee: O. A. Stegemuller Fogh Simbold

HB Koge 31%
Draw 25%
Hillerød 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

HB Koge vs Hillerød overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HB Koge vs Hillerød

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHB KogeDrawHillerød
Model15.7%21.0%63.3%
Market36.2%26.8%37.0%
Final31.1%25.4%43.5%
Edge-20.5%-5.8%+26.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Hillerød

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Hillerød below the model: +26.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HB Koge ↓ / Hillerød → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 6% 1 10% 10% 7% 7% 2 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

HB Koge and Hillerød expected goals

HB Koge 1.04
Hillerød 2.22

Total expected goals: 3.27

HB Koge and Hillerød attack and defence ratings

HB Koge

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Hillerød

Attack 1.63 +63%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HB Koge vs Hillerød: result vs prediction

HB Koge 1 – 1 Hillerød

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

HB Koge vs Hillerød markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hillerød 43.5% 2.30 +26.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.8% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Hillerød win 41.0% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HB Koge31.1%
Draw25.4%
Hillerød43.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.6%
Under 2.536.4%
Both teams to scoreYes58.8%
No41.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.5%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)68.9%
Handicap -1Hillerød win41.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss36.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.8%
1-19.7%
0-29.4%

HB Koge vs Hillerød stats

HB Koge and Hillerød recent form

newest first
HB Koge DDLLLL
Hillerød WWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HB Koge and Hillerød going into this match

league record before kick-off

HB Koge record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Hillerød record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HB Koge vs Hillerød head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1HB Koge wins 3Draws 6Hillerød wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-07HB KogeHillerødDenmark 1. Division1-1
2025-08-23HillerødHB KogeDenmark 1. Division3-1
2025-04-25HillerødHB Koge1. Division3-0
2025-04-13HB KogeHillerød1. Division0-2
2024-12-02HB KogeHillerød1. Division1-5
2024-08-16HillerødHB Koge1. Division4-2
2024-05-05HB KogeHillerød1. Division1-1
2024-04-19HillerødHB Koge1. Division1-1
2024-03-08HB KogeHillerød1. Division0-4
2023-07-21HillerødHB Koge1. Division0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HB Koge vs Hillerød odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 26.8%, away 37.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.58 3.50 2.42
1xBet 2.55 3.42 2.54
Bet365 2.55 3.40 2.55
BetVictor 2.50 3.60 2.50
Betano 2.50 3.45 2.62
Betfair 2.40 3.50 2.50
Dafabet 2.50 3.45 2.60
Marathonbet 2.55 3.42 2.54
Pinnacle 2.62 3.56 2.60
SBO 2.58 3.20 2.22
Superbet 2.75 3.35 2.42
Unibet 2.65 3.50 2.45
William Hill 2.45 3.25 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.19
X 3.45 ▲ +0.02
2 2.50 ▲ +0.13

10 snapshots recorded, from .