Vanløse
vs
Hillerød
2 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | T. Bjergmann Egholm | ||
| 31′ | P. Grujovic | ||
| 46′ | Vanløse | ||
| 46′ | G. NohrM. Mouritz | ||
| 60′ | A. Hoyer | ||
| 62′ | A. OppenhagenM. Julo | ||
| 62′ | J. SigurdssonB. Kucukylidiz | ||
| 65′ | M. VinterbergL. Gudmann | ||
| 80′ | W. KattrupC. Nnamani | ||
| 87′ | S. Opoku | ||
| 90′ | A. Mortensen | ||
| 94′ | H. Derrar | ||
| 95′ | R. Corlu | ||
| 98′ | O. Velje |
Vanløse vs Hillerød overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vanløse vs Hillerød
| Probability | Vanløse | Draw | Hillerød |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.0% | 17.2% | 68.8% |
| Market | 20.0% | 23.0% | 56.9% |
| Final | 18.5% | 21.6% | 59.9% |
| Edge | -6.0% | -5.8% | +11.8% |
Why Hillerød
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 1.23.
- The market prices Hillerød below the model: +11.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vanløse and Hillerød expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.00
Vanløse and Hillerød attack and defence ratings
Vanløse
Hillerød
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vanløse vs Hillerød: result vs prediction
Vanløse 2 – 1 Hillerød
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vanløse vs Hillerød markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hillerød | 59.9% | 1.67 | +11.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Hillerød win | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanløse | 18.5% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Hillerød | 59.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hillerød win | 49.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 31.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.6% |
| 1-3 | 8.0% | |
| 0-2 | 7.0% |
Vanløse vs Hillerød stats
Vanløse vs Hillerød head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-21 | Vanløse | Hillerød | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2021-04-24 | Vanløse | Hillerød | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 1-0 |
| 2020-11-21 | Hillerød | Vanløse | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 1-4 |
| 2020-09-01 | Vanløse | Hillerød | DBU Pokalen | 0-0 |
| 2020-03-07 | Vanløse | Hillerød | 2nd Division - Group 1 | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-06 | Hillerød | Vanløse | 2nd Division - Group 1 | 0-4 |
| 2019-03-30 | Hillerød | Vanløse | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 1-3 |
| 2018-08-11 | Vanløse | Hillerød | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 3-0 |
| 2017-06-03 | Vanløse | Hillerød | Denmark Series - Group 1 | 5-2 |
| 2017-04-01 | Hillerød | Vanløse | Denmark Series - Group 1 | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vanløse vs Hillerød odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.0%, draw 23.0%, away 56.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.33 | 3.85 | 1.60 |
| 1xBet | 4.66 | 3.85 | 1.60 |
| 888Sport | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.59 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.85 | 1.58 |
| Pinnacle | 4.35 | 3.91 | 1.61 |
| SBO | 4.67 | 3.89 | 1.48 |
| Superbet | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.59 |
| Unibet | 4.70 | 4.00 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .