DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 32
VSK Århus
vs
Lyngby
0 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | F. Gytkjaer | ||
| 59′ | O. OstergaardE. Dissing | ||
| 59′ | N. MehlS. Pedersen | ||
| 59′ | Z. SertdemirL. Sandgrav | ||
| 59′ | S. NgaboO. Hojer | ||
| 68′ | M. AlbaekK. Jorgensen | ||
| 74′ | W. SteindorssonG. Fraulo | ||
| 79′ | J. YderholmO. Jacobsen | ||
| 79′ | N. SauerT. Olesen | ||
| 81′ | O. Hojer | ||
| 83′ | F. GytkjaerS. Colyn | ||
| 83′ | T. Eskildsen | ||
| 88′ | S. Colyn | ||
| 90′ | M. Hebo |
VSK Århus
24%
Draw
25%
Lyngby
50%
VSK Århus vs Lyngby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VSK Århus vs Lyngby
| Probability | VSK Århus | Draw | Lyngby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.5% | 25.2% | 50.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.5% | 25.2% | 50.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lyngby
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
VSK Århus and Lyngby expected goals
VSK Århus
1.21
Lyngby
1.81
Total expected goals: 3.02
VSK Århus and Lyngby attack and defence ratings
VSK Århus
Attack
1.50 +50%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Lyngby
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VSK Århus vs Lyngby: result vs prediction
VSK Århus 0 – 2 Lyngby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
VSK Århus vs Lyngby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyngby | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VSK Århus | 24.5% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Lyngby | 50.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyngby win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |