DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 32

Nykobing FC vs Middelfart

5 – 5 Full time

13′J. Villemoes
30′A. Rrahmani
32′O. Balslov
36′L. Wehmeyer
37′A. Akale
39′O. Jakobsen
46′M. KonradsenO. Svendsen
47′H. Hemmingsen
62′A. RrahmaniM. Dahl
62′M. RasmussenB. Kold
62′O. BalslovL. Nyman Engelmand
63′A. Akale
64′N. BossenM. Praest
64′M. BangJ. Wielzen
64′H. HemmingsenR. Koch
67′M. BremsN. Sekula
70′R. Koch
71′B. Kold
73′O. Svendsen
75′J. VillemoesR. Kakeeto
79′L. WehmeyerF. Moller
85′P. Ullum
91′R. O'DriscollO. Gartig
91′A. VogtmannN. Barholt
94′E. Ogude
96′O. Svendsen
114′A. Akale
120′O. Gartig
120′M. Praest
120′M. Dahl
120′R. Koch
120′B. Kold
120′O. Svendsen

Lollands Bank Park, Nykobing Falster

Nykobing FC 42%
Draw 24%
Middelfart 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Nykobing FC vs Middelfart overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nykobing FC vs Middelfart

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNykobing FCDrawMiddelfart
Model25.1%22.1%52.7%
Market47.5%24.1%28.4%
Final41.9%23.6%34.4%
Edge-22.4%-2.0%+24.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nykobing FC ↓ / Middelfart → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 9% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Nykobing FC and Middelfart expected goals

Nykobing FC 1.49
Middelfart 2.18

Total expected goals: 3.68

Nykobing FC and Middelfart attack and defence ratings

Nykobing FC

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Middelfart

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nykobing FC vs Middelfart: result vs prediction

Nykobing FC 5 – 5 Middelfart

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Nykobing FC vs Middelfart markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nykobing FC 41.9% 2.39 -22.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.0% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.5% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.7% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nykobing FC41.9%
Draw23.6%
Middelfart34.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.0%
Under 2.529.0%
Both teams to scoreYes69.5%
No30.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.6%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)58.1%
Handicap -1Nykobing FC win11.8%
Push (exactly one goal)13.5%
Loss74.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.1%
1-29.0%
2-26.7%

Nykobing FC vs Middelfart stats

Nykobing FC and Middelfart recent form

newest first
Nykobing FC DWL
Middelfart WWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Nykobing FC vs Middelfart head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Nykobing FC wins 2Draws 3Middelfart wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-22MiddelfartNykobing FC2. Division2-3
2025-03-23Nykobing FCMiddelfart2. Division1-3
2024-09-28MiddelfartNykobing FC2. Division1-0
2024-06-09Nykobing FCMiddelfart2. Division2-1
2024-05-11MiddelfartNykobing FC2. Division2-0
2023-10-21MiddelfartNykobing FC2. Division2-2
2023-09-02Nykobing FCMiddelfart2. Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nykobing FC vs Middelfart odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 24.1%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.86 3.76 3.38
888Sport 1.91 3.40 3.20
Bet365 1.95 4.10 3.25
BetVictor 1.90 3.75 3.30
Betano 1.93 3.90 3.20
Betfair 1.91 3.80 3.10
Marathonbet 1.84 3.76 3.32
Pinnacle 1.89 3.89 3.11
SBO 1.90 3.37 3.07
Superbet 1.92 3.70 3.30
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.