DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 32

Frem vs Roskilde

1 – 2 Full time

19′B. Adalsteinsson
39′F. Howald
45′C. Remmer
46′A. Al MosaweR. Blaesild
46′N. PoulsenT. Abdulovski
46′N. ZachariassenM. Hammelboe
46′B. AdalsteinssonM. Carlson
46′M. HammelboeS. Madsen
62′N. KretzschmarA. Amhamdi
62′R. BlaesildN. Maale
63′M. JuhlC. Floyd
76′G. HansenC. Espenhain
78′M. FreitagA. Maarup
90′A. Maarup

Valby Idraetspark, Copenhagen

Frem 20%
Draw 23%
Roskilde 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Frem vs Roskilde overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Frem vs Roskilde

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFremDrawRoskilde
Model4.7%11.6%83.7%
Market25.1%26.2%48.6%
Final20.0%22.6%57.4%
Edge-20.4%-14.6%+35.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Roskilde

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 0.67.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 5 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Roskilde below the model: +35.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Frem ↓ / Roskilde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 12% 19% 1 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Frem and Roskilde expected goals

Frem 0.67
Roskilde 3.05

Total expected goals: 3.71

Frem and Roskilde attack and defence ratings

Frem

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Roskilde

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Frem vs Roskilde: result vs prediction

Frem 1 – 2 Roskilde

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Frem vs Roskilde markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Roskilde 57.4% 1.74 +35.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.7% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Roskilde win 66.2% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Frem20.0%
Draw22.6%
Roskilde57.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.7%
Under 2.528.3%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.6%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)80.0%
Handicap -1Roskilde win66.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss16.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-311.5%
0-211.3%
0-48.7%

Frem vs Roskilde stats

Frem and Roskilde recent form

newest first
Frem WWD
Roskilde WWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Frem vs Roskilde head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Frem wins 0Draws 8Roskilde wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-19FremRoskildeFriendlies Clubs1-4
2026-02-07RoskildeFremFriendlies Clubs4-1
2025-02-01FremRoskildeFriendlies Clubs0-1
2024-03-02RoskildeFremFriendlies Clubs0-1
2023-07-29FremRoskildeFriendlies Clubs0-2
2023-06-02RoskildeFrem2. Division3-0
2023-04-29FremRoskilde2. Division2-5
2023-03-07FremRoskildeFriendlies Clubs0-1
2022-11-05FremRoskilde2. Division1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Frem vs Roskilde odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.1%, draw 26.2%, away 48.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.50 3.45 1.85
1xBet 3.60 3.54 1.86
Betano 3.65 3.45 1.90
Betfair 3.60 3.60 1.85
Dafabet 3.70 3.45 1.93
Marathonbet 3.54 3.54 1.84
Superbet 3.60 3.40 1.92

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.