DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Sydkysten
vs
Frem
1 – 2 Full time
Sydkysten
14%
Draw
22%
Frem
64%
Sydkysten vs Frem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sydkysten vs Frem
| Probability | Sydkysten | Draw | Frem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.4% | 21.7% | 63.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 14.4% | 21.7% | 63.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Frem
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.90.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Sydkysten and Frem expected goals
Sydkysten
0.90
Frem
2.13
Total expected goals: 3.03
Sydkysten and Frem attack and defence ratings
Sydkysten
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Frem
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
0.71 -29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sydkysten vs Frem: result vs prediction
Sydkysten 1 – 2 Frem
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sydkysten vs Frem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frem | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Frem win | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sydkysten | 14.4% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Frem | 63.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Frem win | 41.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 35.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.8% |
| 1-1 | 10.3% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |