Avarta
vs
Hillerød
0 – 4 Full time
Avarta vs Hillerød overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avarta vs Hillerød
| Probability | Avarta | Draw | Hillerød |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.1% | 17.0% | 72.9% |
| Market | 6.2% | 12.1% | 81.7% |
| Final | 7.1% | 13.4% | 79.5% |
| Edge | +3.9% | +4.9% | -8.8% |
Why Hillerød
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 0.90.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Avarta and Hillerød expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.48
Avarta and Hillerød attack and defence ratings
Avarta
Hillerød
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avarta vs Hillerød: result vs prediction
Avarta 0 – 4 Hillerød
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Avarta vs Hillerød markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hillerød | 79.5% | 1.26 | -8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Hillerød win | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avarta | 7.1% |
| Draw | 13.4% | |
| Hillerød | 79.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 20.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hillerød win | 52.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 27.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-3 | 8.8% |
Avarta vs Hillerød stats
Avarta vs Hillerød head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-13 | Avarta | Hillerød | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2021-04-11 | Avarta | Hillerød | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-12 | Hillerød | Avarta | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-06 | Hillerød | Avarta | 2nd Division - Group 1 | 0-3 |
| 2019-04-06 | Avarta | Hillerød | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 2-3 |
| 2018-10-06 | Hillerød | Avarta | 2nd Division - Group 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Avarta vs Hillerød odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.2%, draw 12.1%, away 81.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 15.00 | 7.60 | 1.13 |
| Dafabet | 15.00 | 7.60 | 1.13 |
| Unibet | 11.50 | 7.50 | 1.12 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .