Allerød
vs
Vanløse
1 – 4 Full time
Allerød vs Vanløse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Allerød vs Vanløse
| Probability | Allerød | Draw | Vanløse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 5.1% | 8.1% | 86.7% |
| Market | 17.7% | 22.2% | 60.1% |
| Final | 14.6% | 18.7% | 66.7% |
| Edge | -12.6% | -14.1% | +26.7% |
Why Vanløse
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.24 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vanløse below the model: +26.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Allerød and Vanløse expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.42
Allerød and Vanløse attack and defence ratings
Allerød
Vanløse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Allerød vs Vanløse: result vs prediction
Allerød 1 – 4 Vanløse
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Allerød vs Vanløse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanløse | 66.7% | 1.50 | +26.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vanløse win | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Allerød | 14.6% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| Vanløse | 66.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 90.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 9.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vanløse win | 74.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.5% | |
| Loss | 13.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-4 | 7.1% |
| 1-3 | 6.7% | |
| 1-5 | 6.0% |
Allerød vs Vanløse stats
Allerød vs Vanløse head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-26 | Allerød | Vanløse | Denmark Series - Group 2 | 1-3 |
| 2024-08-23 | Vanløse | Allerød | Denmark Series - Group 2 | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-08 | Allerød | Vanløse | DBU Pokalen | 0-2 |
| 2016-05-07 | Vanløse | Allerød | Denmark Series - Group 1 | 2-1 |
| 2015-09-19 | Allerød | Vanløse | Denmark Series - Group 1 | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Allerød vs Vanløse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.7%, draw 22.2%, away 60.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| 1xBet | 5.64 | 4.05 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.10 | 4.05 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.47 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.30 | 1.52 |
| Marathonbet | 5.45 | 4.05 | 1.47 |
| Superbet | 5.10 | 4.25 | 1.51 |
| Unibet | 4.50 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.53 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .