DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
OKS
vs
Middelfart
0 – 1 Full time
OKS
27%
Draw
23%
Middelfart
50%
OKS vs Middelfart overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OKS vs Middelfart
| Probability | OKS | Draw | Middelfart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 23.3% | 49.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.9% | 23.3% | 49.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Middelfart
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
OKS and Middelfart expected goals
OKS
1.46
Middelfart
2.03
Total expected goals: 3.48
OKS and Middelfart attack and defence ratings
OKS
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Middelfart
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
OKS vs Middelfart: result vs prediction
OKS 0 – 1 Middelfart
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
OKS vs Middelfart markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Middelfart | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OKS | 26.9% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Middelfart | 49.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Middelfart win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
OKS vs Middelfart stats
OKS and Middelfart recent form
| OKS |
WL |
| Middelfart |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
OKS vs Middelfart head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
0OKS wins
2Draws
5Middelfart wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-05 | OKS | Middelfart | DBU Pokalen | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-04 | Middelfart | OKS | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-13 | Middelfart | OKS | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-27 | Middelfart | OKS | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-10 | Middelfart | OKS | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2012-05-19 | OKS | Middelfart | Denmark Series - Group 2 | 2-2 |
| 2011-10-01 | Middelfart | OKS | Denmark Series - Group 2 | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.