DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
NB Bornholm
vs
HIK
1 – 4 Full time
NB Bornholm
6%
Draw
11%
HIK
83%
NB Bornholm vs HIK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NB Bornholm vs HIK
| Probability | NB Bornholm | Draw | HIK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.0% | 11.0% | 83.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 6.0% | 11.0% | 83.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why HIK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.41 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
81%
No goals
2%
NB Bornholm and HIK expected goals
NB Bornholm
0.93
HIK
3.41
Total expected goals: 4.34
NB Bornholm and HIK attack and defence ratings
NB Bornholm
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
0.92 -8%
HIK
Attack
1.26 +26%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NB Bornholm vs HIK: result vs prediction
NB Bornholm 1 – 4 HIK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
NB Bornholm vs HIK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HIK | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | HIK win | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NB Bornholm | 6.0% |
| Draw | 11.0% | |
| HIK | 83.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 17.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 89.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 94.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | HIK win | 67.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.0% | |
| Loss | 17.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 8.6% |
| 1-3 | 8.0% | |
| 0-2 | 7.6% |
NB Bornholm vs HIK stats
NB Bornholm and HIK recent form
| NB Bornholm |
WL |
| HIK |
WLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.