HIK
vs
Esbjerg
0 – 5 Full time
| 14′ | P. Bjur | ||
| 24′ | J. Kolawole | ||
| 26′ | P. BjurM. Maden | ||
| 46′ | F. AronssonP. Tjornelund | ||
| 53′ | J. Kolawole | ||
| 59′ | N. BlicherJ. Ampofo | ||
| 60′ | J. KolawoleM. Kruse | ||
| 61′ | N. SchandorphM. Jorgensen | ||
| 61′ | A. WagnerI. Nuur | ||
| 63′ | M. Maden | ||
| 68′ | J. Ampofo | ||
| 69′ | J. JohanssonM. Haakonsson | ||
| 69′ | O. BoesenA. Kristiansen | ||
| 70′ | F. Valdbjorn | ||
| 79′ | N. Strunck | ||
| 87′ | J. DamkjaerM. Hesselholt | ||
| 88′ | J. RindomM. Torres | ||
| 90′ | J. Ampofo |
HIK vs Esbjerg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: HIK vs Esbjerg
| Probability | HIK | Draw | Esbjerg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.5% | 22.6% | 54.9% |
| Market | 18.2% | 22.8% | 59.0% |
| Final | 19.3% | 22.7% | 58.0% |
| Edge | +4.3% | -0.2% | -4.1% |
Why Esbjerg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.31.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
HIK and Esbjerg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
HIK and Esbjerg attack and defence ratings
HIK
Esbjerg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
HIK vs Esbjerg: result vs prediction
HIK 0 – 5 Esbjerg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
HIK vs Esbjerg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 58.0% | 1.73 | -4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HIK | 19.3% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Esbjerg | 58.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Esbjerg win | 34.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.2% |
HIK vs Esbjerg stats
HIK vs Esbjerg head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-18 | HIK | Esbjerg | 2. Division | 1-4 |
| 2023-10-08 | Esbjerg | HIK | 2. Division | 7-0 |
| 2023-03-17 | HIK | Esbjerg | 2. Division | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-11 | Esbjerg | HIK | 2. Division | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
HIK vs Esbjerg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.2%, draw 22.8%, away 59.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.04 | 3.94 | 1.53 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 3.94 | 1.51 |
| Pinnacle | 4.66 | 3.96 | 1.56 |
| SBO | 4.56 | 3.83 | 1.50 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .