Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 9

AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg

3 – 0 Full time

18′S. Diop
55′M. Vesterholm
60′M. Maden
61′O. Mullings
62′S. DiopT. Hageltorn
62′C. GreningJ. Fernandes
70′W. WarrerM. Stenner
70′A. KoudelkaM. Clement
73′M. BrajanacM. Hansen
74′M. MadenM. Kruse
80′O. MullingsA. Horup
84′P. TjornelundF. Aronsson
84′O. BoesenB. Hvidt
88′M. Rasmussen
90′M. Rasmussen

Gladsaxe Stadium, CopenhagenReferee: N. Dommerudveksling

AB Copenhagen 42%
Draw 24%
Esbjerg 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAB CopenhagenDrawEsbjerg
Model31.2%23.7%45.0%
Market45.4%24.6%30.0%
Final41.9%24.4%33.7%
Edge-14.2%-0.9%+15.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AB Copenhagen ↓ / Esbjerg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

AB Copenhagen and Esbjerg expected goals

AB Copenhagen 1.59
Esbjerg 1.93

Total expected goals: 3.52

AB Copenhagen and Esbjerg attack and defence ratings

AB Copenhagen

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Esbjerg

Attack 1.55 +55%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg: result vs prediction

AB Copenhagen 3 – 0 Esbjerg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AB Copenhagen 41.9% 2.39 -14.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.0% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.8% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AB Copenhagen41.9%
Draw24.4%
Esbjerg33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.3%
Under 2.531.7%
Both teams to scoreYes69.0%
No31.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)58.1%
Handicap -1AB Copenhagen win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)15.8%
Loss68.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
1-28.8%
2-17.2%

AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg stats

AB Copenhagen and Esbjerg recent form

newest first
AB Copenhagen WLLLWD
Esbjerg WDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AB Copenhagen and Esbjerg going into this match

league record before kick-off

AB Copenhagen record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Esbjerg record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2AB Copenhagen wins 2Draws 6Esbjerg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-05-31EsbjergAB Copenhagen2. Division6-0
2024-04-14AB CopenhagenEsbjerg2. Division2-1
2024-03-10EsbjergAB Copenhagen2. Division2-1
2023-09-02AB CopenhagenEsbjerg2. Division0-3
2023-05-27AB CopenhagenEsbjerg2. Division1-1
2023-04-30EsbjergAB Copenhagen2. Division0-2
2023-04-10AB CopenhagenEsbjerg2. Division0-0
2022-08-21EsbjergAB Copenhagen2. Division3-2
2019-11-06AB CopenhagenEsbjergDBU Pokalen1-2
2012-04-13EsbjergAB Copenhagen1. Division3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AB Copenhagen vs Esbjerg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 24.6%, away 30.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.78 3.10
Bet365 2.00 3.75 3.25
BetVictor 2.05 3.80 3.10
Betano 2.15 3.65 3.05
Betfair 1.95 3.75 3.00
Marathonbet 2.01 3.78 3.08
Pinnacle 2.04 4.09 3.17
SBO 1.95 3.40 2.91
William Hill 2.05 3.60 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.03 ▼ -0.01
X 3.75 ▼ -0.02
2 3.08 ▲ +0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from .