Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 9

HB Koge vs Hobro

5 – 2 Full time

11′L. Bust
18′T. Thomsen
22′T. Hansen
48′G. Culhaci
55′F. Isaki
62′M. PedersenF. Christensen
63′F. Isaki
64′G. CulhaciE. Semovski
65′F. Isaki
69′F. Christensen
70′R. HaugeO. Meedom
70′T. HansenA. Breum
74′M. JensenM. Romer
74′L. BustV. Sorensen
84′S. HaldL. Achton
84′F. IsakiN. Stolshoj
87′M. HuldahlH. Dahl

Capelli Sport Stadion, KogeReferee: B. H. Svedborg

HB Koge 37%
Draw 28%
Hobro 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

HB Koge vs Hobro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HB Koge vs Hobro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHB KogeDrawHobro
Model34.5%30.1%35.4%
Market38.2%27.8%34.0%
Final37.3%28.4%34.3%
Edge-3.8%+2.3%+1.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HB Koge ↓ / Hobro → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

HB Koge and Hobro expected goals

HB Koge 1.20
Hobro 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.42

HB Koge and Hobro attack and defence ratings

HB Koge

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Hobro

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HB Koge vs Hobro: result vs prediction

HB Koge 5 – 2 Hobro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

HB Koge vs Hobro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HB Koge 37.3% 2.68 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.3% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HB Koge37.3%
Draw28.4%
Hobro34.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.7%
Under 2.556.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.7%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)62.7%
Handicap -1HB Koge win15.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss65.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
0-19.5%

HB Koge vs Hobro stats

HB Koge and Hobro recent form

newest first
HB Koge DDDDLL
Hobro DLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HB Koge and Hobro going into this match

league record before kick-off

HB Koge record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Hobro record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HB Koge vs Hobro head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3HB Koge wins 1Draws 6Hobro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24HB KogeHobroDenmark 1. Division0-1
2026-04-22HobroHB KogeDenmark 1. Division1-2
2026-02-27HobroHB KogeDenmark 1. Division1-1
2025-07-18HB KogeHobroDenmark 1. Division2-0
2025-05-22HobroHB Koge1. Division2-1
2025-04-21HB KogeHobro1. Division0-2
2024-10-18HB KogeHobro1. Division4-1
2024-08-02HobroHB Koge1. Division2-1
2023-10-27HobroHB Koge1. Division2-1
2023-08-20HB KogeHobro1. Division0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HB Koge vs Hobro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 27.8%, away 34.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.38 3.38 2.71
Bet365 2.45 3.30 2.75
BetVictor 2.45 3.30 2.70
Betano 2.55 3.30 2.67
Betfair 2.38 3.30 2.60
Marathonbet 2.38 3.38 2.71
Pinnacle 2.40 3.60 2.83
SBO 2.49 3.07 2.49
William Hill 2.38 3.25 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.11
X 3.30 ▼ -0.21
2 2.70 —

14 snapshots recorded, from .