Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 9

Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre

1 – 3 Full time

36′D. Bagou
37′A. Pisani
54′C. Nygaard
56′C. Nygaard
60′O. Jensen JuulM. Knudsen
60′O. JensenN. Huygevelde
64′C. NygaardJ. Ostergaard
65′M. Kirchheiner
65′D. BagouE. Aby
72′M. RybergM. de Claville
78′A. NjaiA. Okosun
79′A. SmedA. Johansen
80′M. de Claville
81′A. Johansen
84′E. EgertonJ. Beluli
84′K. LundingI. Kristjansson
90′A. Okosun
90′N. Huygevelde
90′A. Johansen

Riisvangen, AarhusReferee: J. Nielsen

Aarhus Fremad 40%
Draw 28%
Hvidovre 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAarhus FremadDrawHvidovre
Model47.6%30.8%21.6%
Market36.8%27.1%36.1%
Final39.5%28.0%32.5%
Edge+10.8%+3.7%-14.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Aarhus Fremad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.82.
  • The market prices Aarhus Fremad below the model: +10.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aarhus Fremad ↓ / Hvidovre → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 8% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Aarhus Fremad and Hvidovre expected goals

Aarhus Fremad 1.33
Hvidovre 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.15

Aarhus Fremad and Hvidovre attack and defence ratings

Aarhus Fremad

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Hvidovre

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre: result vs prediction

Aarhus Fremad 1 – 3 Hvidovre

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aarhus Fremad 39.5% 2.53 +10.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.7% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 57.7% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.4% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aarhus Fremad39.5%
Draw28.0%
Hvidovre32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.3%
Under 2.563.7%
Both teams to scoreYes42.3%
No57.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.5%
Handicap -1Aarhus Fremad win23.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss52.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.3%
1-114.0%
0-012.9%

Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre stats

Aarhus Fremad and Hvidovre recent form

newest first
Aarhus Fremad DDWDWD
Hvidovre DWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aarhus Fremad and Hvidovre going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aarhus Fremad record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hvidovre record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Aarhus Fremad wins 1Draws 1Hvidovre wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-01Aarhus FremadHvidovreDenmark 1. Division0-0
2025-08-15HvidovreAarhus FremadDenmark 1. Division2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aarhus Fremad vs Hvidovre odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 27.1%, away 36.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.50 3.36 2.57
Bet365 2.55 3.50 2.55
BetVictor 2.50 3.50 2.55
Betano 2.55 3.40 2.60
Betfair 2.45 3.50 2.45
Marathonbet 2.50 3.36 2.57
Pinnacle 2.59 3.50 2.66
SBO 2.41 3.11 2.41
William Hill 2.45 3.20 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▲ +0.04
X 3.40 ▲ +0.02
2 2.55 ▼ -0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .