Hørsholm-Usserød
vs
Aarhus Fremad
1 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | R. Arup Jorgensen | ||
| 46′ | R. Arup JorgensenE. Otkjaer Walloe | ||
| 46′ | I. HidalgoL. Tinggaard Helmi | ||
| 46′ | E. EgertonC. Nygaard | ||
| 54′ | N. LarsenA. Khalid | ||
| 54′ | G. J. HolmH. Khan | ||
| 59′ | N. FihlA. Hvid | ||
| 67′ | L. RonnbergM. Kaastrup | ||
| 67′ | A. LudwigE. Nissen | ||
| 76′ | J. OstergaardM. Ryberg | ||
| 83′ | D. Bernasko Appu | ||
| 90′ | M. KjolbyA. Pisani | ||
| 90′ | A. Pisani | ||
| 92′ | A. AlhummadiG. Kirkeby | ||
| 93′ | L. Tinggaard Helmi | ||
| 94′ | F. GrubeS. Andreasen | ||
| 105′ | A. Khalid | ||
| 112′ | E. Otkjaer Walloe | ||
| 115′ | M. Kaastrup | ||
| 117′ | L. Tinggaard Helmi | ||
| 117′ | L. Tinggaard Helmi | ||
| 120′ | A. Hvid | ||
| 120′ | M. Kaastrup | ||
| 120′ | E. Otkjaer Walloe | ||
| 120′ | A. Pisani | ||
| 120′ | C. Husmer | ||
| 120′ | M. de Claville |
Hørsholm-Usserød vs Aarhus Fremad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hørsholm-Usserød vs Aarhus Fremad
| Probability | Hørsholm-Usserød | Draw | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.0% | 22.2% | 67.8% |
| Market | 11.3% | 17.5% | 71.2% |
| Final | 11.0% | 18.6% | 70.4% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +4.7% | -3.5% |
Why Aarhus Fremad
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.61.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hørsholm-Usserød and Aarhus Fremad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Hørsholm-Usserød and Aarhus Fremad attack and defence ratings
Hørsholm-Usserød
Aarhus Fremad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hørsholm-Usserød vs Aarhus Fremad: result vs prediction
Hørsholm-Usserød 1 – 1 Aarhus Fremad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hørsholm-Usserød vs Aarhus Fremad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus Fremad | 70.4% | 1.42 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Aarhus Fremad win | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 11.0% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Aarhus Fremad | 70.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aarhus Fremad win | 42.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 32.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 14.6% |
| 0-1 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 10.2% |
Hørsholm-Usserød vs Aarhus Fremad stats
Hørsholm-Usserød and Aarhus Fremad recent form
| Hørsholm-Usserød |
WW |
| Aarhus Fremad |
DWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Hørsholm-Usserød vs Aarhus Fremad head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hørsholm-Usserød vs Aarhus Fremad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.3%, draw 17.5%, away 71.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.25 | 5.20 | 1.24 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 7.70 | 5.10 | 1.31 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 8.80 | 5.20 | 1.23 |
| Pinnacle | 7.89 | 5.42 | 1.26 |
| SBO | 6.38 | 4.63 | 1.25 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .