Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 8

Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad

0 – 0 Full time

34′E. Pedersen
55′S. Andreasen
63′R. Schuller
63′R. SchullerM. Holt
63′E. PedersenA. N. Atlason
67′M. KirchheinerM. Kjolby
71′M. RybergM. de Claville
80′C. NygaardJ. Ostergaard
80′E. EgertonO. Hjaltason
81′K. LundingL. Ronnberg
82′A. C. VendelboS. Simpson
90′M. Holt

Nord Energi Arena, HjorringReferee: F. Iriskic

Vendsyssel FF 35%
Draw 28%
Aarhus Fremad 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVendsyssel FFDrawAarhus Fremad
Model19.5%28.0%52.5%
Market39.9%27.7%32.4%
Final34.8%27.8%37.5%
Edge-20.4%+0.4%+20.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Aarhus Fremad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.85.
  • The market prices Aarhus Fremad below the model: +20.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vendsyssel FF ↓ / Aarhus Fremad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 13% 11% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Vendsyssel FF and Aarhus Fremad expected goals

Vendsyssel FF 0.85
Aarhus Fremad 1.55

Total expected goals: 2.40

Vendsyssel FF and Aarhus Fremad attack and defence ratings

Vendsyssel FF

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Aarhus Fremad

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad: result vs prediction

Vendsyssel FF 0 – 0 Aarhus Fremad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aarhus Fremad 37.5% 2.67 +20.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.5% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vendsyssel FF34.8%
Draw27.8%
Aarhus Fremad37.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.9%
Under 2.557.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.5%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)65.2%
Handicap -1Aarhus Fremad win28.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss47.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-112.9%
0-210.9%

Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad stats

Vendsyssel FF and Aarhus Fremad recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vendsyssel FF and Aarhus Fremad going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vendsyssel FF record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.

Aarhus Fremad record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Vendsyssel FF wins 0Draws 1Aarhus Fremad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-01-28Vendsyssel FFAarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs3-2
2020-10-07Aarhus FremadVendsyssel FFDBU Pokalen5-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 27.4%, away 35.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.56 3.30 2.52
1xBet 2.35 3.34 2.87
888Sport 2.50 3.10 2.50
Bet365 2.38 3.40 2.88
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 2.88
Betano 2.62 3.35 2.57
Betfair 2.50 3.40 2.50
Dafabet 2.60 3.40 2.55
Marathonbet 2.33 3.34 2.85
Pinnacle 2.38 3.49 2.93
SBO 2.50 3.07 2.35
Superbet 2.62 3.35 2.55
Unibet 2.50 3.55 2.55
William Hill 2.25 3.25 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.34 ▼ -0.16
X 3.37 ▼ -0.08
2 2.88 ▲ +0.38

13 snapshots recorded, from .