Denmark 1. Division · 2026-09-12T11:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen

1 – 0 Full time

11′			P. Kallsberg
39′			G. Noga
45′			W. Glindtvad
45′			G. Noga
45′			G. Noga
46′			J. SigurdssonM. Munck
64′			P. KallsbergA. Hoyer
65′			S. Larsen
66′			W. WarrerA. Koudelka
69′			S. Ilsoe
71′			B. Kucukylidiz
75′			T. HageltornC. Grening
75′			S. IlsoeM. Clement
84′			M. JuloA. Lodberg
84′			M. RasmussenA. Horup
84′			B. KucukylidizH. Derrar
84′			T. DamtoftJ. Fernandes
90′			S. OpokuK. Enghardt

Helsingor Stadion, HelsingorReferee: F. Klarlund

Hillerød

40%

Draw

25%

AB Copenhagen

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Hillerød	Draw	AB Copenhagen
Model	50.0%	22.6%	27.4%
Market	36.2%	26.0%	37.8%
Final	39.6%	25.2%	35.2%
Edge	+13.8%	-3.4%	-10.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Hillerød

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.54.
The market prices Hillerød below the model: +13.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

71%

No goals

Hillerød and AB Copenhagen expected goals

Hillerød

2.11

AB Copenhagen

1.54

Total expected goals: 3.65

Hillerød and AB Copenhagen attack and defence ratings

Hillerød

Attack

1.48 +48%

Defence

1.07 +7%

AB Copenhagen

Attack

1.08 +8%

Defence

0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen: result vs prediction

Hillerød 1 – 0 AB Copenhagen

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Hobro vs Vejle — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Vendsyssel FF vs Aarhus Fremad · 2026-09-11
Hvidovre vs Aalborg — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Esbjerg vs HB Koge · 2026-09-12
Kolding IF v FC Fredericia — match page · 2026-09-12

Before and after this match

Hillerød, previous: Vanløse vs Hillerød prediction
Hillerød, next: Kolding IF vs Hillerød: odds and pick
AB Copenhagen, previous: AB Copenhagen v Aalborg analysis
AB Copenhagen, next: AB Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske prediction

Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Hillerød	39.6%	2.52	+13.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.7%	1.42	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	69.9%	1.43	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.8%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	50.0%	2.00	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Hillerød	39.6%
	Draw	25.2%
	AB Copenhagen	35.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.7%
	Under 2.5	29.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	69.9%
	No	30.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.8%
	12 (either side)	74.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.4%
Handicap -1	Hillerød win	30.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.9%
	Loss	50.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.3%
	2-1	8.9%
	2-2	6.9%

Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen stats

Hillerød and AB Copenhagen recent form

newest first

Hillerød	LDWWLD
AB Copenhagen	LLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hillerød and AB Copenhagen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hillerød record

They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AB Copenhagen record

They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Hillerød wins 2Draws 4AB Copenhagen wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2023-07-15	AB Copenhagen	Hillerød	Friendlies Clubs	3-2
2021-10-23	Hillerød	AB Copenhagen	2. Division	1-3
2021-08-29	AB Copenhagen	Hillerød	2. Division	1-1
2021-04-07	AB Copenhagen	Hillerød	2nd Division - Group 2	0-1
2020-08-29	Hillerød	AB Copenhagen	2nd Division - Group 2	3-0
2020-08-15	Hillerød	AB Copenhagen	Friendlies Clubs	2-3
2018-10-20	Hillerød	AB Copenhagen	2nd Division - Group 2	3-2
2018-08-26	AB Copenhagen	Hillerød	2nd Division - Group 2	1-1
2017-10-14	Hillerød	AB Copenhagen	2nd Division - Group 1	2-1
2017-08-19	AB Copenhagen	Hillerød	2nd Division - Group 1	2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hillerød vs AB Copenhagen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 26.0%, away 37.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.58	3.55	2.44
Bet365	2.55	3.50	2.55
BetVictor	2.55	3.60	2.45
Betano	2.57	3.60	2.50
Betfair	2.45	3.60	2.40
Marathonbet	2.58	3.55	2.44
Pinnacle	2.65	3.80	2.45
SBO	2.44	3.32	2.39
William Hill	2.50	3.40	2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.23

X 3.55 ▼ -0.18

2 2.44 ▲ +0.17

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-05T16:10:02Z.