Denmark 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 8

Hobro vs Vejle

0 – 0 Full time

4′T. Bach
15′M. Jensen
53′R. Hauge
54′G. MarcussenA. Camara
54′M. DuelundW. Faghir
68′R. HaugeF. Christensen
69′M. JensenT. Gundelund
70′L. FromB. Edjeodji
81′M. PedersenA. Breum
85′F. DietzM. Kannegaard

DS Arena, HobroReferee: P. Gammelholm

Hobro 22%
Draw 24%
Vejle 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Hobro vs Vejle overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hobro vs Vejle

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHobroDrawVejle
Model16.2%18.8%64.9%
Market23.4%25.1%51.5%
Final21.6%23.5%54.8%
Edge-7.2%-6.3%+13.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Vejle

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.57 vs 1.26.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Vejle below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hobro ↓ / Vejle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 6% 7% 1 8% 9% 8% 9% 2 6% 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Hobro and Vejle expected goals

Hobro 1.26
Vejle 2.57

Total expected goals: 3.83

Hobro and Vejle attack and defence ratings

Hobro

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Vejle

Attack 1.55 +55%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hobro vs Vejle: result vs prediction

Hobro 0 – 0 Vejle

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Denmark 1. Division

Before and after this match

Hobro vs Vejle markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vejle 54.8% 1.82 +13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.6% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.9% 1.50 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.4% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Vejle win 44.6% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hobro21.6%
Draw23.5%
Vejle54.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.6%
Under 2.526.4%
Both teams to scoreYes66.9%
No33.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.2%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)78.4%
Handicap -1Vejle win44.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss35.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.0%
1-37.7%
1-17.7%

Hobro vs Vejle stats

Hobro and Vejle recent form

newest first
Hobro LLWWWL
Vejle WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hobro and Vejle going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hobro record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vejle record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Hobro vs Vejle head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Hobro wins 2Draws 3Vejle wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-02-14HobroVejleFriendlies Clubs3-3
2022-10-14HobroVejle1. Division3-0
2022-09-18VejleHobro1. Division2-0
2020-10-07HobroVejleDBU Pokalen0-3
2020-08-19VejleHobroFriendlies Clubs0-1
2018-10-28HobroVejleSuperliga1-0
2018-07-13VejleHobroSuperliga3-1
2017-05-11HobroVejle1. Division1-1
2017-03-12VejleHobro1. Division1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hobro vs Vejle odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.3%, draw 25.0%, away 50.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.70 3.70 1.82
1xBet 3.96 3.68 1.82
888Sport 3.70 3.50 1.80
Bet365 4.10 3.70 1.80
BetVictor 3.90 3.70 1.80
Betano 3.75 3.75 1.85
Betfair 3.80 3.80 1.75
Dafabet 3.80 3.75 1.85
Marathonbet 3.96 3.68 1.80
Pinnacle 4.14 3.77 1.84
SBO 3.31 3.31 1.84
Superbet 3.75 3.75 1.85
Unibet 3.90 3.75 1.83
William Hill 3.80 3.30 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.96 ▲ +0.16
X 3.69 ▼ -0.11
2 1.80 ▼ -0.02

13 snapshots recorded, from .