Hvidovre
vs
Aalborg
2 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | M. Kubel | ||
| 6′ | N. JungvigA. Okosun | ||
| 7′ | M. Kaasa | ||
| 25′ | B. Tiedemann | ||
| 27′ | L. Prip | ||
| 31′ | M. KubelP. Sondergaard | ||
| 39′ | K. Normann | ||
| 57′ | V. MollerA. Hapnes | ||
| 57′ | M. KaasaM. Tielemans | ||
| 63′ | A. NjaiE. Aby | ||
| 63′ | A. SmedN. Huygevelde | ||
| 72′ | A. IljazovskiA. Johansen | ||
| 73′ | O. JensenZ. Aliji | ||
| 74′ | N. Huygevelde | ||
| 76′ | K. NormannF. Borsting | ||
| 76′ | J. AdedejiK. John | ||
| 79′ | O. Jensen Juul |
Hvidovre vs Aalborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hvidovre vs Aalborg
| Probability | Hvidovre | Draw | Aalborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 29.1% | 23.8% |
| Market | 38.6% | 26.6% | 34.7% |
| Final | 40.7% | 27.3% | 32.0% |
| Edge | +8.5% | +2.5% | -10.9% |
Why Hvidovre
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Hvidovre below the model: +8.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hvidovre and Aalborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Hvidovre and Aalborg attack and defence ratings
Hvidovre
Aalborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hvidovre vs Aalborg: result vs prediction
Hvidovre 2 – 2 Aalborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hvidovre vs Aalborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 40.7% | 2.45 | +8.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 40.7% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Aalborg | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hvidovre win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Hvidovre vs Aalborg stats
Hvidovre and Aalborg recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hvidovre and Aalborg going into this match
Hvidovre record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Aalborg record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hvidovre vs Aalborg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Hvidovre | Aalborg | Denmark 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-22 | Aalborg | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hvidovre vs Aalborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 26.6%, away 34.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.48 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.48 | 2.67 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48 | 3.63 | 2.70 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.21 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .