Esbjerg
vs
HB Koge
2 – 2 Full time
| 21′ | J. Ampofo | ||
| 46′ | N. Strunck | ||
| 49′ | T. Thomsen | ||
| 58′ | F. AronssonP. Tjornelund | ||
| 58′ | E. SemovskiN. Stolshoj | ||
| 58′ | S. HaldL. Achton | ||
| 59′ | J. KolawoleP. Bjur | ||
| 62′ | R. Brodersen | ||
| 66′ | B. HvidtO. Boesen | ||
| 81′ | L. BustM. Romer | ||
| 81′ | M. WestergrenV. Sorensen | ||
| 81′ | F. IsakiG. Culhaci | ||
| 84′ | J. AmpofoM. Kruse | ||
| 84′ | M. MadenM. Hansen | ||
| 88′ | S. Strand | ||
| 90′ | S. Manoharan |
Esbjerg vs HB Koge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Esbjerg vs HB Koge
| Probability | Esbjerg | Draw | HB Koge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.2% | 24.7% | 19.1% |
| Market | 49.3% | 24.8% | 25.9% |
| Final | 51.0% | 24.8% | 24.2% |
| Edge | +6.9% | -0.1% | -6.7% |
Why Esbjerg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Esbjerg below the model: +6.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Esbjerg and HB Koge expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Esbjerg and HB Koge attack and defence ratings
Esbjerg
HB Koge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Esbjerg vs HB Koge: result vs prediction
Esbjerg 2 – 2 HB Koge
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Esbjerg vs HB Koge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 51.0% | 1.96 | +6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.8% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 51.0% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| HB Koge | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% |
| No | 45.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Esbjerg win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 43.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Esbjerg vs HB Koge stats
Esbjerg and HB Koge recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Esbjerg and HB Koge going into this match
Esbjerg record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
HB Koge record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Esbjerg vs HB Koge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | HB Koge | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Esbjerg | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-02-28 | HB Koge | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Esbjerg | HB Koge | 1. Division | 4-1 |
| 2022-05-07 | HB Koge | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Esbjerg | HB Koge | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2021-11-19 | HB Koge | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-04 | Esbjerg | HB Koge | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-21 | HB Koge | Esbjerg | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2021-04-29 | Esbjerg | HB Koge | 1. Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Esbjerg vs HB Koge odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 24.8%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.72 | 3.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.72 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.89 | 3.73 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.43 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .