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DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 32

Sundby vs FC Midtjylland

0 – 7 Full time

29′J. Emefile
34′K. Watjen
42′K. Watjen
44′G. Frederiksen
45′J. Emefile
45′M. Rajovic
46′V. BakD. Castillo
46′D. MartinezS. Iheanacho
46′M. ErlicF. Etim
46′M. BelmaillahN. Andersen
46′G. Pyne-ColeM. Krogh Hansen
46′M. JorgensenR. F. Hansen
50′FC Midtjylland
64′M. RajovicM. Uhre
66′E. Langfeldt EriksenC. Illum
68′F. Etim
72′J. BeckerN. Jacobsen
73′K. WatjenF. Vestergaard
76′J. Emefile
84′B. Juel-Berg
Sundby 5%
Draw 12%
FC Midtjylland 82%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sundby vs FC Midtjylland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sundby vs FC Midtjylland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySundbyDrawFC Midtjylland
Model11.8%18.9%69.3%
Market3.2%10.1%86.7%
Final5.4%12.3%82.4%
Edge+8.6%+8.8%-17.4%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Midtjylland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 0.91.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sundby ↓ / FC Midtjylland → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 8% 9% 1 9% 10% 8% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 4%

Sundby and FC Midtjylland expected goals

Sundby 0.91
FC Midtjylland 2.39

Total expected goals: 3.31

Sundby and FC Midtjylland attack and defence ratings

Sundby

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.89 -11%

FC Midtjylland

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sundby vs FC Midtjylland: result vs prediction

Sundby 0 – 7 FC Midtjylland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Sundby vs FC Midtjylland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Midtjylland 82.4% 1.21 -17.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.2% 1.81 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 94.6% 1.06 — —
Handicap -1 FC Midtjylland win 47.5% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sundby5.4%
Draw12.3%
FC Midtjylland82.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes55.2%
No44.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)17.6%
12 (either side)87.7%
X2 (draw or away)94.6%
Handicap -1FC Midtjylland win47.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss30.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.5%
1-29.6%
1-18.8%

Sundby vs FC Midtjylland stats

Sundby and FC Midtjylland recent form

newest first
Sundby WWLWW
FC Midtjylland DWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Sundby vs FC Midtjylland head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sundby vs FC Midtjylland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 3.2%, draw 10.1%, away 86.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 27.00 8.80 1.04
888Sport 41.00 8.00 1.06
Bet365 34.00 11.00 1.06
BetVictor 26.00 9.00 1.06
Betano 35.00 9.25 1.06
Betfair 31.00 11.00 1.04
Dafabet 30.00 9.80 1.06
Marathonbet 27.00 8.80 1.04
SBO 20.20 7.62 1.05
Superbet 27.00 11.00 1.04
Unibet 14.00 9.50 1.07
William Hill 41.00 8.00 1.07

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 28.50 ▲ +6.00
X 9.12 ▲ +1.47
2 1.06 ▼ -0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .