Denmark Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
FC Midtjylland
vs
Brondby
4 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | Rasmus Kristensen | ||
| 23′ | Stanley Iheanacho | ||
| 37′ | David MartínezBeni Junior | ||
| 45′ | Oskar FengerMarcus Younis | ||
| 45′ | Filip Bundgaard KristensenOlti Hyseni | ||
| 53′ | Kjell-Arik WätjenDenil Castillo | ||
| 64′ | Oliver Marc Rose-VilladsenChristopher Olivier | ||
| 67′ | Stanley Iheanacho | ||
| 69′ | Max Isaac Ejdum | ||
| 73′ | Max Isaac Ejdum | ||
| 74′ | Jordi VanlerbergheRaphael Canut | ||
| 74′ | Cho Gue-sung | ||
| 76′ | Raphael Canut | ||
| 81′ | Sho FukudaCasper Winther | ||
| 83′ | Stanley IheanachoMileta Rajovic | ||
| 83′ | Friday EtimJulius Emefile | ||
| 89′ | Magnus Jensen | ||
| 89′ | Bartosz Ślisz | ||
| 89′ | Bartosz Ślisz |
FC Midtjylland
57%
Draw
23%
Brondby
20%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 226 | Accurate passes | 322 |
FC Midtjylland vs Brondby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Midtjylland vs Brondby
| Probability | FC Midtjylland | Draw | Brondby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.0% | 17.6% | 11.5% |
| Market | 52.9% | 24.6% | 22.5% |
| Final | 57.4% | 22.9% | 19.7% |
| Edge | +18.1% | -7.1% | -11.0% |
Why FC Midtjylland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 0.98.
- The market prices FC Midtjylland below the model: +18.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
FC Midtjylland and Brondby expected goals
FC Midtjylland
2.58
Brondby
0.98
Total expected goals: 3.56
FC Midtjylland and Brondby attack and defence ratings
FC Midtjylland
Attack
1.49 +49%
Defence
0.68 -32%
Brondby
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Midtjylland vs Brondby: result vs prediction
FC Midtjylland 4 – 1 Brondby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Midtjylland vs Brondby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 57.4% | 1.74 | +18.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Midtjylland win | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 57.4% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Brondby | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Midtjylland win | 50.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 29.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-0 | 8.1% |
FC Midtjylland vs Brondby stats
FC Midtjylland and Brondby recent form
| FC Midtjylland |
WDWDWW |
| Brondby |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Midtjylland and Brondby going into this match
FC Midtjylland record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brondby record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FC Midtjylland vs Brondby head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4FC Midtjylland wins
1Draws
5Brondby wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | FC Midtjylland | Brondby | Denmark Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Brondby | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-01 | FC Midtjylland | Brondby | Denmark Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Brondby | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-19 | Brondby | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Midtjylland | Brondby | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-03 | FC Midtjylland | Brondby | Superliga | 1-5 |
| 2024-10-31 | Brondby | FC Midtjylland | DBU Pokalen | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Brondby | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-05 | FC Midtjylland | Brondby | Superliga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Midtjylland vs Brondby odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 24.9%, away 23.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.74 | 4.17 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.74 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.90 | 4.45 |
| SBO | 1.81 | 3.36 | 3.36 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.77 ▲ +0.02
X
3.80 ▼ -0.10
2
4.17 ▲ +0.05
15 snapshots recorded, from .