Garuda Lions
Today
Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Odense vs FC Midtjylland

1 – 1 Full time

4′Magnus JensenAbdou Aziz Ndiaye
10′Friday Etim
13′Rasmus Kristensen
21′Marcus McCoy
33′Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
44′Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
45′Christian GammelgaardAlexander Ahl Holmstrom
45′Marcus McCoyAdam Sorensen
45′David MartínezSofus Johannesen
45′Stanley IheanachoJulius Emefile
59′Julian Andreas PauliJann-Fiete Arp
68′Nikolaj Juul-SandbergFredrik Ulvestad
72′Cho Gue-sungMikael Uhre
75′Noah Ganaus
80′Friday EtimMileta Rajovic
82′Rasmus Falk JensenAnssi Suhonen
88′Julius Berthel Askou Harvey

Odense Stadium, OdenseReferee: Aydin Uslu

Odense 20%
Draw 22%
FC Midtjylland 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
9 Corners 2
19 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
488 Accurate passes 260

Odense vs FC Midtjylland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Odense vs FC Midtjylland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOdenseDrawFC Midtjylland
Model12.2%19.2%68.6%
Market23.0%23.3%53.8%
Final20.3%22.2%57.5%
Edge-10.8%-4.1%+14.9%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Midtjylland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.37 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Midtjylland below the model: +14.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Odense ↓ / FC Midtjylland → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 8% 9% 1 9% 10% 8% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Odense and FC Midtjylland expected goals

Odense 0.92
FC Midtjylland 2.37

Total expected goals: 3.29

Odense and FC Midtjylland attack and defence ratings

Odense

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.04 +4%

FC Midtjylland

Attack 1.58 +58%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Odense vs FC Midtjylland: result vs prediction

Odense 1 – 1 FC Midtjylland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Odense vs FC Midtjylland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Midtjylland 57.5% 1.74 +14.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.4% 1.81 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 FC Midtjylland win 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Odense20.3%
Draw22.2%
FC Midtjylland57.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.8%
Under 2.536.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.4%
No44.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.5%
12 (either side)77.8%
X2 (draw or away)79.7%
Handicap -1FC Midtjylland win46.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss31.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.4%
1-29.6%
1-19.0%

Odense vs FC Midtjylland stats

Odense and FC Midtjylland recent form

newest first
Odense WWLDWD
FC Midtjylland WWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Odense and FC Midtjylland going into this match

league record before kick-off

Odense record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Midtjylland record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Odense vs FC Midtjylland head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Odense wins 1Draws 8FC Midtjylland wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-17FC MidtjyllandOdenseFriendlies Clubs4-1
2026-02-15OdenseFC MidtjyllandDenmark Superliga1-4
2025-07-20FC MidtjyllandOdenseDenmark Superliga3-3
2023-10-23OdenseFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-2
2023-09-24FC MidtjyllandOdenseSuperliga2-1
2023-06-03FC MidtjyllandOdenseSuperliga4-2
2023-03-31OdenseFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-3
2023-01-27FC MidtjyllandOdenseFriendlies Clubs4-2
2022-10-31FC MidtjyllandOdenseSuperliga1-2
2022-07-29OdenseFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Odense vs FC Midtjylland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.0%, draw 23.3%, away 53.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.02 4.05 1.75
Bet365 4.10 4.00 1.75
BetVictor 3.90 3.90 1.73
Betano 4.10 3.95 1.80
Betfair 4.10 4.00 1.73
Marathonbet 4.05 4.05 1.73
Pinnacle 4.08 4.29 1.79
SBO 3.54 3.49 1.73
William Hill 3.90 3.90 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.05 ▼ -0.30
X 4.00 ▲ +0.02
2 1.73 ▲ +0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from .