FC Midtjylland
vs
FC Copenhagen
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Copenhagen
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen
| Probability | FC Midtjylland | Draw | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 28.0% | 40.3% |
| Market | 36.8% | 26.1% | 37.1% |
| Final | 35.6% | 26.5% | 37.9% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +1.9% | +3.2% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Copenhagen below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen match preview
FC Midtjylland will host FC Copenhagen in the Denmark Superliga on October 11, 2026. The match presents an intriguing contest, with FC Midtjylland holding a 36% probability of victory, while FC Copenhagen slightly edges with a 38% chance. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2, occurring at a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, with a 56% likelihood of both teams scoring and a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, FC Midtjylland has recorded a series of draws and wins, with their latest results being D-W-W-D-W-D. Conversely, FC Copenhagen is in excellent form, boasting six consecutive wins. Historically, FC Midtjylland has performed well against FC Copenhagen, with two wins and one draw in their last three encounters. Expected goals suggest a close match, with FC Midtjylland at 1.27 and FC Copenhagen at 1.46.
FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen team news
FC Midtjylland news
- A. Ndiaye — suspended
- D. Beni — inactive
- Hong Hyun-Seok — knock
- Junior Brumado — knee injury
- M. B. Sorensen — knock
- M. Erlic — foot injury
- M. Gogorza — hip injury
- O. Diao — foot injury
- R. Kristensen — yellow cards
FC Copenhagen news
- M. Mattsson — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings
FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 37.9% | 2.64 | +3.2% | 2.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 35.6% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| FC Copenhagen | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen stats
FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen recent form
| FC Midtjylland |
DWWDWD |
| FC Copenhagen |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen season so far
FC Midtjylland record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | FC Copenhagen | FC Midtjylland | DBU Pokalen | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-08 | FC Midtjylland | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | FC Copenhagen | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 26.1%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51 | 3.60 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.51 | 3.60 | 2.51 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 3.70 | 2.56 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 3.15 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .