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Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 10

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen

2 – 1 Full time

12′Friday Etim
45′Marcos López
45′David MartínezSofus Johannesen
49′Mohamed Elyounoussi
54′Kjell-Arik WätjenHong Hyun-Seok
62′Denil Castillo
64′Thomas Delaney
74′Thomas DelaneyThapelo Maseko
74′Andreas CorneliusViktor Dadason
78′Stanley IheanachoJulius Emefile
78′Denil CastilloCho Gue-sung
81′Marcos LópezBirger Meling
88′Mohamed ElyounoussiGeovanni Vianney Ndjee
88′Alex KrálMarvin Nasnas
90′Friday EtimMileta Rajovic
90′William Clem
90′Andreas Maxsø
90′Bo Svensson

MCH Arena, HerningReferee: Jacob Karlsen

FC Midtjylland 36%
Draw 26%
FC Copenhagen 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 1
35 Possession % 65
4 Corners 2
9 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
0 Saves 1
183 Accurate passes 398

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC MidtjyllandDrawFC Copenhagen
Model31.8%27.9%40.3%
Market36.9%25.9%37.2%
Final35.6%26.4%38.0%
Edge-1.3%+0.5%+0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FC Copenhagen

  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Midtjylland ↓ / FC Copenhagen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen expected goals

FC Midtjylland 1.27
FC Copenhagen 1.45

Total expected goals: 2.72

FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings

FC Midtjylland

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.67 -33%

FC Copenhagen

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.52 -48%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen: result vs prediction

FC Midtjylland 2 – 1 FC Copenhagen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Copenhagen 38.0% 2.63 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.5% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Midtjylland35.6%
Draw26.4%
FC Copenhagen38.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%
Both teams to scoreYes56.5%
No43.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.0%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)64.4%
Handicap -1FC Copenhagen win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-28.8%
0-18.3%

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen stats

FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen recent form

newest first
FC Midtjylland DWWDWD
FC Copenhagen WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Midtjylland record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Copenhagen record

  • They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6FC Midtjylland wins 3Draws 1FC Copenhagen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-14FC CopenhagenFC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen0-1
2026-02-08FC MidtjyllandFC CopenhagenDenmark Superliga2-1
2025-10-05FC CopenhagenFC MidtjyllandDenmark Superliga1-1
2025-05-11FC CopenhagenFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-1
2025-04-17FC MidtjyllandFC CopenhagenSuperliga4-2
2025-02-23FC CopenhagenFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-0
2024-09-14FC MidtjyllandFC CopenhagenSuperliga2-1
2024-05-16FC CopenhagenFC MidtjyllandSuperliga1-2
2024-04-14FC MidtjyllandFC CopenhagenSuperliga2-2
2024-03-01FC MidtjyllandFC CopenhagenSuperliga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 25.9%, away 37.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.51 3.60 2.51
Bet365 2.55 3.60 2.55
BetVictor 2.50 3.50 2.45
Betano 2.60 3.60 2.57
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.50
Dafabet 2.60 3.65 2.60
Marathonbet 2.51 3.60 2.51
Pinnacle 2.59 3.76 2.62
SBO 2.47 3.33 2.47
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.53 ▲ +0.06
X 3.60 —
2 2.51 —

17 snapshots recorded, from .